FL-SEN: Is Rubio about to bungle it?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Any word on what Gwen Graham will be doing next year / when she'll announce her plans? If she wants to run for Senate, the clock is ticking. She would need to raise a lot of money and go against Patrick Murphy, who is favored by the establishment at this point.

I'm pretty sure the CW is that she'll go for the open Governor's chair in 2018.

[Kingpoleon]

Any word on what Gwen Graham will be doing next year / when she'll announce her plans? If she wants to run for Senate, the clock is ticking. She would need to raise a lot of money and go against Patrick Murphy, who is favored by the establishment at this point.

I'm pretty sure the CW is that she'll go for the open Governor's chair in 2018.

To be honest, Crist or Mario Díaz-Balart would be better IMO.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The only way the GOP wins this race if Rubio is on the ticket, barring that, eve. If GOP wins FL, Clinton will push Murphy ahead.

[Bismarck]

Just curious, why does everyone think Murphy is such a great candidate? People here talk as if he's a shoo in in Florida with several competent GOP opponents. I think this race is a toss up no matter what unless the GOP is getting landslides nationally which seems unlikely. Am I missing something? Is Murphy even well known statewide?

[Maxwell]

Just curious, why does everyone think Murphy is such a great candidate? People here talk as if he's a shoo in in Florida with several competent GOP opponents. I think this race is a toss up no matter what unless the GOP is getting landslides nationally which seems unlikely. Am I missing something? Is Murphy even well known statewide?

Murphy has a strong electoral record, but I somewhat agree with this actually. The fact he's not locking up the primary between him and Grayson is deeply troubling to me.

[Zache]

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[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

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Praise the Lord!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

But there's still hope that Jolly is gonna beat Murphy...

Pretty .much solidifies the senate for Dems, NH, FL, CO, NV, IL & WI.  And chance for when Dems get a nominee, a chance for McGinty to def Toomey

[Holmes]

But there's still hope that Jolly is gonna beat Murphy...

Pretty .much solidifies the senate for Dems, NH, FL, CO, NV, IL & WI.  And chance for when Dems get a nominee, a chance for McGinty to def Toomey

Yeah, Republicans should just give up on 2016 and focus on 2018 already If things continue at this rate, even Richard Shelby might lose his seat...

Well, he might - to a primary challenger.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The vulnerability of Claire McCaskill is overstated. And in a midterm that has Dems picking up govs mansions in FL & IL and other term limited govs, 2018 wont be as friendly to GOP as you might think.

Dems are defending more seats, but 3rd chances for an R wave are very unlikely.  I expect Tester to have a strong GOP challenger.  In a neutral year, Dems may lose 1-3 seats, and Flake will be tea partied. Making the seat more enticing for Dems.

[Miles]

With the new FL map, Frankel and Deutch are trading districts. Frankel will have CD21 in Palm Beach (59.6% Obama) and Deutch agreed to take the swingier CD22 (54.9% Obama), in Broward.

[Miles]

Well, la de frickin da:

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[Atlas Has Shrugged]

The new map makes room for a potential comeback by my old boss in FL-22 against Deutch. This is good news. Too bad I'm in Tally and can't see it.

Ran into the RPOF's head guy in the office. Said that the new 22 is winnable in the right circumstances but not worth the time and effort in 2016. Also learned some interesting things about Andrew Gillum....

[publicunofficial]

The new map makes room for a potential comeback by my old boss in FL-22 against Deutch. This is good news. Too bad I'm in Tally and can't see it.

Ran into the RPOF's head guy in the office. Said that the new 22 is winnable in the right circumstances but not worth the time and effort in 2016. Also learned some interesting things about Andrew Gillum....

Besides the possibility of him running against Brown in FL-05?

Graham, should she go for it, might have the upper hand in a Brown/Gillum/Graham primary

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

The new map makes room for a potential comeback by my old boss in FL-22 against Deutch. This is good news. Too bad I'm in Tally and can't see it.

Ran into the RPOF's head guy in the office. Said that the new 22 is winnable in the right circumstances but not worth the time and effort in 2016. Also learned some interesting things about Andrew Gillum....

Besides the possibility of him running against Brown in FL-05?

Graham, should she go for it, might have the upper hand in a Brown/Gillum/Graham primary

If Gillum jumps in, she might as well switch districts. I haven't thought of that as a possibility.

[Miles]

FWIW, Nan Rich supporting Murphy.

[MT Treasurer]

New FL Atlantic University poll shows GRAYSON leading Murphy by 7:



http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/poll-david-jolly-and-alan-grayson-leqad-their-primairies/2261995

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Undecided is really running a great campaign this cycle!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Well, the last Dem poll had Grayson up by 3 as well as Murphy winning.

[Zache]

Obama and Biden have endorsed Murphy.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GOP wants Carson (yes, that Carson) to make a late entry.
http://fortune.com/2016/03/02/ben-carson-senate-florida/

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Carson would be lucky if he gets the nomination for FL-22. There just trying to honeypot him out of the race. DeSantis, Jolly, or CLC ain't going nowhere.

[Mike Thick]

lol

[Suburbia]

Carson may run if Scott does not run for Senate in 2018.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I have it on good authority (IE, a MAJOR conference call that I just totally eavesdropped on while punching up a contact list for the Negron campaign) that all but confirmed Ben Carson is totally out. He is not running, has no intention of running, and will not enter the race.....BUT, he is still meeting with donors and I've even heard rumblings about him running in FL-18.