IN-Sen: Coats retiring

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Walorski considering.

Excellent!  We may have our Mourdock

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Hoosiers, who are the likeliest candidates?

Isn't asking this a bit pointless if you're just going to spam the thread with who is/isn't running?

It's not spam.  Spam is junk, RogueBeaver's posts were legitimate contributions to the thread.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

How strong is the Dem bench in IN-2?  Any chance we could retake it if Walorski runs for Senate (given the 2012 result I'd think it'd be a real possibility with the right type of candidate).

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Holcomb's resume is sufficient for a House seat, but it's difficult for me to see a party-chair/staffer get a non-sacrificial lamb Senate nomination. Stutzman seems likely to run too, but he's very TP and he's got a lot of enemies. There have to be more people coming. There's been some buzz around Todd Young, hasn't there?

I feel like there could be a very large clown-car emerging here on the Republican side

From what I've read, it doesn't sound like Young is very interested.  On a different note, can someone please explain why the Democrats randomly stopped competing for IN-8?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Holcomb's resume is sufficient for a House seat, but it's difficult for me to see a party-chair/staffer get a non-sacrificial lamb Senate nomination. Stutzman seems likely to run too, but he's very TP and he's got a lot of enemies. There have to be more people coming. There's been some buzz around Todd Young, hasn't there?

I feel like there could be a very large clown-car emerging here on the Republican side

From what I've read, it doesn't sound like Young is very interested.  On a different note, can someone please explain why the Democrats randomly stopped competing for IN-8?

Under the 2012-2020 drawing, it's r+8. Only winnable in a 2006/8 style year, which 2014 was never going to be. Plus, Rep. Buchshon is popular and ran ahead of the PVI in both '12 and '14. Democrats have far better targets for 16, so no sense aiming at the Longshot IN-8.

From what I've heard and read Bucshon's a pretty meh incumbent, hardly a super-entrenched force to be reckoned with.  I also disagree about it being only on the table in a wave.  PVI isn't everything and a strong candidate like Ellsworth or Weinzapfel could certainly put it on the table in even a neutral year, especially with Presidential year turnout.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Brooks is out (link coming)

http://paper.li/dsm012/1329336565?edition_id=6b6e3060-e862-11e4-82e4-0cc47a0d164b

 
She's gonna get Tea Partied.

You seem stuck in 2010, talking about how everyone is going to get teabagged. In case you didn't notice, the Tea Party lost every single race in 2014.

*points to Sasse in NE, Brat in VA, Cotton in AR, Ernst in IA, and Lankford in OK.*

Cotton wasn't a tea-party candidate...

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Hopefully Hostettler will run and save the Indiana GOP from Mourdock Part II.

Yes, please!

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Baron Hill faced Mike Sodrel in most of his elections to his seat. Sodrel was a dreadful candidate. As soon as Hill got a non-terrible candidate (Todd Young) he lost fairly easily. Hill won't win this election if it's a normal Hillary win, even against Stutzman.

Hill could definitely beat Stutzman in a normal year, even if he'd be the underdog.  He's a strong candidate and Stutzman is an absolutely terrible one.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Baron Hill faced Mike Sodrel in most of his elections to his seat. Sodrel was a dreadful candidate. As soon as Hill got a non-terrible candidate (Todd Young) he lost fairly easily. Hill won't win this election if it's a normal Hillary win, even against Stutzman.

Hill could definitely beat Stutzman in a normal year, even if he'd be the underdog.  He's a strong candidate and Stutzman is an absolutely terrible one.

Stutzman's got this. Indiana will have a Tea Party Senator.

Err...Stutzman isn't even gaurenteed to be the nominee, especially if Todd Young ends up running.  Plus, I suspect Jim Merrit will siphon off more than a few would-be Stutzman supporters.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Baron Hill faced Mike Sodrel in most of his elections to his seat. Sodrel was a dreadful candidate. As soon as Hill got a non-terrible candidate (Todd Young) he lost fairly easily. Hill won't win this election if it's a normal Hillary win, even against Stutzman.

Hill could definitely beat Stutzman in a normal year, even if he'd be the underdog.  He's a strong candidate and Stutzman is an absolutely terrible one.

Stutzman's got this. Indiana will have a Tea Party Senator.

Err...Stutzman isn't even gaurenteed to be the nominee, especially if Todd Young ends up running.  Plus, I suspect Jim Merrit will siphon off more than a few would-be Stutzman supporters.

Is Merritt running?

Yep