Nate Silver gives Clinton 23% odds of losing the nomination

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Somewhat subjective due to lack of an abundance of data, but still not good news for Hillary.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wait, he gives Gillibrand, a candidate who has about a -10% chance of running 2% odds, but only gives declared candidate Cruz 1% odds?

I think Nate should stick to objective odds, because he's clearly terrible at subjective ones.

#I don't like the results, so not believing it.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wait, he gives Gillibrand, a candidate who has about a -10% chance of running 2% odds, but only gives declared candidate Cruz 1% odds?

I think Nate should stick to objective odds, because he's clearly terrible at subjective ones.

#I don't like the results, so not believing it.

So you think Gillibrand has a better chance of winning the nomination than Cruz?

So many of you are going to have egg on your face in a year. It's going to be amazing.

I've always maintained that Hillary is the clear favorite to win the nomination. But I refuse to rule out her losing it, even with Warren out, unless she is still topping 50% nationally (on RCP) in October.