Nate Silver gives Clinton 23% odds of losing the nomination

[Likely Voter]

I think that Warren is happy to be in the Senate. She wants to be the new Ted Kennedy, the 'liberal lioness' of the Senate. She has never done anything or said anything that indicates any kind of presidential ambition. I don't believe she will run even if (in the extremely unlikely event) Clinton doesn't run or drops out. If Clinton does drop out, others will have back up plans jump into motion like get in quickly.

[Likely Voter]

I actually listened to the podcast and to be clear Nate and the other guys were saying there is a chance she doesn't run or is 'forced out' due to some scandal, not that she 'loses' to one of the others. The theory goes that there are a series of new allegations along the lines of emailgate leading to her not running or dropping out. Short of that, she wins. While that scenario is certainly plausible, I think 23% is over-estimating it.

BTW, They all also noted their own internal bias for there to be an actual nomination fight.