IA-InsiderAdvantage: Walker opens massive lead, Carson 2nd
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 24, 2024, 11:11:03 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
  IA-InsiderAdvantage: Walker opens massive lead, Carson 2nd		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: IA-InsiderAdvantage: Walker opens massive lead, Carson 2nd  (Read 814 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: March 24, 2015, 03:08:07 PM »
29.0% Walker
13.5% Carson
12.3% Bush
10.5% Huckabee
  6.9% Cruz
  5.4% Rubio
  5.0% Paul
  4.8% Christie
  3.0% Trump
  9.7% Others/Undecided

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://opinionsavvy.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/Iowa-3.24.15.pdf
Logged
Matty
boshembechle
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,957


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2015, 03:13:12 PM »
How accurate is this firm?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2015, 03:15:48 PM »
The Walker surge is still very much alive in Iowa it seems.
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,356
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2015, 03:17:08 PM »
I'm still interested to see if there is a Cruz surge. His speech trended way harder and was better than Walker's flavor of the month speech that propelled him.

I think the nomination will come down to Walker vs Cruz. Jeb and all the others will be inconsequential.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: March 24, 2015, 03:17:26 PM »

Depends.

For the 2012 IA caucus on the GOP side they produced a good final poll.

In 2014, they only polled GA and had Perdue winning by 3 [won by 8].
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: March 24, 2015, 03:20:21 PM »

Just checked 2008. They had one of the best IA caucus polls back then (Obama+1 and Huck+6).
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: March 25, 2015, 12:01:55 AM »
age 18-29: Cruz
age 30-44: Carson
age 45-64: Walker
age 65+: Walker
whites: Walker
blacks: Walker
Hispanics: Carson/Cruz/Walker tie

The poll included 4 blacks and 3 Hispanics who said that they'd vote in the GOP caucuses.

Two of the blacks support Walker, while Bush and Cruz get one each  (Why none for Carson?  Is he not black enough?).  Meanwhile, Carson, Cruz, and Walker each get the support of one of the three Hispanics.
Logged
Ebsy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: March 25, 2015, 02:18:43 AM »
« Edited: March 25, 2015, 02:20:34 AM by Ebsy »
InsiderAdvantage's other polls have been pretty bad though. Their average error is 8.1 points according to 538.
Logged
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,959
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: March 25, 2015, 10:27:02 AM »
Very good. Smiley
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 13 queries.