UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Campaign Thread)

[Citizen (The) Doctor]

This seems like an hilariously terrible idea to me...

Obama endorsing Miliband inc.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

LOL they're in my borough. Seeing as the major issue that Labour had a backlash in Enfield in the first place was the closue of local A&E services, I doubt privatised healthcare goons will go down a treat...

It certainly makes up for the shenanigans that occurred when Joan Ryan was reselected by the local Labour Party, against the wishes of literally everybody.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

That's an awesome study, Vega. I'm actually surprised to see Labour picking up so many of the LD voters as I thought those were flocking more evenly to the Conservatives (and some to UKIP as a new protest vote). I know it doesn't make intuitive sense (especially given that they should be upset about the current coalition), but that's what I've been seeing touted for so long.

Hopefully the large number of outstanding Conservatives and Lib Dems come home to their parties. The right-leaners in particularly should notice that a vote for UKIP is effectively wasted even if they are unhappy with the EU stance.

I also love looking at that UKIP rainbow of hate. Un-be-lievable.

[Phony Moderate]

LOL

[afleitch]

Jim Murphy is having a bit of a...crisis right now.

[Phony Moderate]

The upcoming YouGov poll is being hyped up.

[Clyde1998]

The upcoming YouGov poll is being hyped up.

Tories on 38% apparently.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The upcoming YouGov poll is being hyped up.

They do that a lot.

[Lief 🗽]

It looks like the Tory tactic to paint Miliband as a womanizing badboy has backfired.

are you a #milifan?

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

It looks like the Tory tactic to paint Miliband as a womanizing badboy has backfired.

are you a #milifan?

I have a confession to make: I'm a #milifan.

[You kip if you want to...]

The upcoming YouGov poll is being hyped up.

Tories on 38% apparently.

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/590622405162315776

The woozle that wasn't.

Hyped up because it's the first Tory lead with them in a good while.

[Clyde1998]

The upcoming YouGov poll is being hyped up.

Tories on 38% apparently.

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/590622405162315776

The woozle that wasn't.

Hyped up because it's the first Tory lead with them in a good while.

We'll have to see the next couple of polls by YouGov to confirm the trend. Could this just be margin of error noise?

[Phony Moderate]

The upcoming YouGov poll is being hyped up.

Tories on 38% apparently.

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/590622405162315776

The woozle that wasn't.

Hyped up because it's the first Tory lead with them in a good while.

We'll have to see the next couple of polls by YouGov to confirm the trend. Could this just be margin of error noise?

The same question may as well be asked of today's TNS (a swing to Labour) or yesterday's Ashcroft (a swing to the Tories).

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Most recent YouGov's have shown effective ties, so really there's nothing to confirm. Pollsters and newspapers that publish polls have really got to stop hyping the not-worth-hyping.

Anyway, full figures from that link: Con 35, Labour 34, UKIP 13, LDem 7, Greens 5, Others 6

Swing of 3% from 2010 (might add this to all reported polls from now on).

[afleitch]

Well it's the first Tory lead with YouGov since April 9th so it's out of the 'new norm' if that makes sense. Nothing has changed since January, while an accurate assessment of the polls, is not one that shifts newspapers or make people place bets.

[Tetro Kornbluth]

Prediction: Yougov's poll tomorrow will show a 3 point Labour lead, thus returning us back to the beginning.

[Zanas]

Polls like these mean the result for each party has a 95% chance of falling +/- 3 pt from the given figure. Let the Cons or Lab have a consistent 3 pt lead in 19 polls in a row, and we can call that a trend.

[Thomas D]

"Cameron heart not in it"

http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/04/22/cameron-has-wanted-out-for-a-while-just-wants-to-go-out-on-a-high-tim-montgomerie/

[Joe Republic]

It looks like the Tory tactic to paint Miliband as a womanizing badboy has backfired.

are you a #milifan?

This is terrible news for Ed Miliband.

[YL]

Most recent YouGov's have shown effective ties, so really there's nothing to confirm. Pollsters and newspapers that publish polls have really got to stop hyping the not-worth-hyping.

The hyping is silly, of course, but I see no reason to expect anything better from the Sun.  I'm more disappointed in the pollsters who do it.

[Phony Moderate]

I will say right now that a Labour defeat would almost certainly not be down to Miliband, the SNP or Lynton Crosby. It would be down to trendy middle-class liberal leftists who obsess about global warming, UKIP and marijuana on a daily basis.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I will say right now that a Labour defeat would almost certainly not be down to Miliband, the SNP or Lynton Crosby. It would be down to trendy middle-class liberal leftists who obsess about global warming, UKIP and marijuana on a daily basis.

I think you vastly overestimate the influence of hispters on the electorate...

[Phony Moderate]

I will say right now that a Labour defeat would almost certainly not be down to Miliband, the SNP or Lynton Crosby. It would be down to trendy middle-class liberal leftists who obsess about global warming, UKIP and marijuana on a daily basis.

I think you vastly overestimate the influence of hispters on the electorate...

Specifically, I'm thinking of the way such people will vote and why. Nothing against the Greens per se, but I do have somewhat of an issue with those who vote for them because Labour is too working-class or, dare I use this word, 'normal'. I encounter such people on a daily basis, and while they are not bad people, their approach to politics leaves much to be desired. The same can be said of those who jumped onto the Clegg bandwagon in 2010.

[Blair]

I will say right now that a Labour defeat would almost certainly not be down to Miliband, the SNP or Lynton Crosby. It would be down to trendy middle-class liberal leftists who obsess about global warming, UKIP and marijuana on a daily basis.

I think you vastly overestimate the influence of hispters on the electorate...

Specifically, I'm thinking of the way such people will vote and why. Nothing against the Greens per se, but I do have somewhat of an issue with those who vote for them because Labour is too working-class or, dare I use this word, 'normal'. I encounter such people on a daily basis, and while they are not bad people, their approach to politics leaves much to be desired. The same can be said of those who jumped onto the Clegg bandwagon in 2010.

Yeah tons of people say they're voting green to shake up the system, or because labour isn't left wing enough.

[Hnv1]

I will say right now that a Labour defeat would almost certainly not be down to Miliband, the SNP or Lynton Crosby. It would be down to trendy middle-class liberal leftists who obsess about global warming, UKIP and marijuana on a daily basis.

I think you vastly overestimate the influence of hispters on the electorate...

Specifically, I'm thinking of the way such people will vote and why. Nothing against the Greens per se, but I do have somewhat of an issue with those who vote for them because Labour is too working-class or, dare I use this word, 'normal'. I encounter such people on a daily basis, and while they are not bad people, their approach to politics leaves much to be desired. The same can be said of those who jumped onto the Clegg bandwagon in 2010.

Yeah tons of people say they're voting green to shake up the system, or because labour isn't left wing enough.

bar for the SP I think Labour is the leftiest of the European large centre-left parties. anyway green voters would be unimportant if Labour could tear the left side of the LD back in