Indiana 2016: Is Pence beatable?
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Author Topic: Indiana 2016: Is Pence beatable?  (Read 5737 times)
emcee0
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« on: March 31, 2015, 12:20:10 AM »
« edited: March 31, 2015, 12:34:20 AM by emcee0 »
Considering recent events of a ludicrous bill, his disastrous interview on ABC and the fact that he only won by 3%, Does this make Governor Pence vulnerable and which Democrat has the best chance to defeat him in 2016?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2015, 12:30:31 AM »
I have the race tentatively rated as 'Likely R', but the only democrats I can see as being able to come from behind and win are Former Sen. Evan Bayh and 2012 Nominee John Gregg. Fmr. Rep. Baron Hill may be able to give Pence a scare, but he'd never actually win.
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Flake
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« Reply #2 on: March 31, 2015, 12:55:43 AM »
I think Gregg runs again and beats Pence.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2015, 09:27:50 AM »
I think Pence is done, to be quite frank.
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Brewer
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« Reply #4 on: March 31, 2015, 09:35:15 AM »
I certainly hope Gregg senses the opportunity and runs again.



Frankly, if this 'stache doesn't deserve a state house then I don't know what does.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #5 on: March 31, 2015, 01:34:53 PM »
Pence would have the advantage, but Gregg or Hill could beat him.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #6 on: March 31, 2015, 01:56:35 PM »
Pence is very beatable. It's a matter of if Democrats are willing to beat him. I think Gregg can, but Hill can't.
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« Reply #7 on: March 31, 2015, 02:08:54 PM »
If he does run for reelection maybe. But Pence will win 54-43. Timeless economic Hoosier principles always wins at the end.
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Brewer
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« Reply #8 on: March 31, 2015, 02:52:47 PM »
Gregg said in 2013 that he wouldn't run again but announced in February of this year that he was reconsidering, so hopefully the backlash over the RFRA will nudge him into the race.
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windjammer
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« Reply #9 on: March 31, 2015, 03:17:52 PM »
Pence will win,
This won't be an issue unfortunately.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #10 on: March 31, 2015, 03:39:31 PM »
He's by no means safe. It's unclear just how vulnerable he is though.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #11 on: March 31, 2015, 03:49:31 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on March 31, 2015, 01:56:35 PM
Pence is very beatable. It's a matter of if Democrats are willing to beat him. I think Gregg can, but Hill can't.

Why don't you think Hill could?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: March 31, 2015, 04:16:42 PM »
Quote from: X on March 31, 2015, 03:49:31 PM
Quote from: Maxwell on March 31, 2015, 01:56:35 PM
Pence is very beatable. It's a matter of if Democrats are willing to beat him. I think Gregg can, but Hill can't.

Why don't you think Hill could?

Hill strikes me as aggressively mediocre, and he only kept his office because his opponent was Mike Sodrel. I mean, if it truly is a Hilldawg wave he could probably win by just being alive, but beyond that it's not likely.
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #13 on: March 31, 2015, 04:27:45 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2015, 05:29:37 PM by angryGreatness »
John Gregg's website now reads "Big News is Just Around the Corner", and Gregg himself has told the National Journal that the recent controversy has heightened his interest in a rematch.

It looks like he's in.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #14 on: March 31, 2015, 04:32:22 PM »
Quote from: angryGreatness on March 31, 2015, 04:27:45 PM
John Gregg's website now reads "Big News is Just Around the Corner", and Gregg himself has told the National Journal that the recent controversy has heightened his interested in a rematch.

It looks like he's in.
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Brewer
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« Reply #15 on: March 31, 2015, 05:21:52 PM »
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free my dawg
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« Reply #16 on: March 31, 2015, 05:53:08 PM »
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free my dawg
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« Reply #17 on: March 31, 2015, 05:54:05 PM »
Quote from: bronz4141 on March 31, 2015, 02:08:54 PM
If he does run for reelection maybe. But Pence will win 54-43. Timeless economic Hoosier principles always wins at the end.

This law also literally kills jobs so Gregg is probably closer anyway
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LeBron
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« Reply #18 on: March 31, 2015, 07:13:19 PM »
I'm a little bit hesitant here. While it's nice to know he opposes second-class treatment for LGBT people, I want to know first if Gregg still stands by his 2012 platform where he backed a discriminatory constitutional amendment to prohibit same-sex marriage (which Pence also backed).

Whether he still does or not though, he seems like one of the only remaining Democrats (now that Bayh and likely Ritz are out) that could take down the oppressive SOB.
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Xing
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« Reply #19 on: April 01, 2015, 03:07:28 PM »

This, and it's worth mentioning that Hoosiers don't tend to be kind to incumbents. Pence is favored, but especially with the backlash over RFRA, he's not safe.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #20 on: April 01, 2015, 03:37:18 PM »
Quote from: xingkerui on April 01, 2015, 03:07:28 PM

This, and it's worth mentioning that Hoosiers don't tend to be kind to incumbents. Pence is favored, but especially with the backlash over RFRA, he's not safe.

I have a feeling this will blow over just like the government shutdown did for the 2014 elections.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #21 on: April 02, 2015, 04:03:12 PM »
He is certainly beatable now. Not because of the bill but because of his poor handling of the bill and backing down. Not only that but Id say the Senate seat might be in jeopardy too, but the Dem bench in IN is pretty shallow
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RFayette
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« Reply #22 on: April 04, 2015, 10:31:05 PM »
Quote from: bobloblaw on April 02, 2015, 04:03:12 PM
He is certainly beatable now. Not because of the bill but because of his poor handling of the bill and backing down. Not only that but Id say the Senate seat might be in jeopardy too, but the Dem bench in IN is pretty shallow

If Pence didn't back down, he would have certainly lost.....Indiana would've been an even bigger joke and millions of dollars would've flown to Illinois.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #23 on: April 06, 2015, 05:10:33 PM »
Pence is pretty weak. He ran a few points behind Romney in 2012 in a state Obama won in 2008.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: April 07, 2015, 02:48:09 PM »
No, not right now, the Dems are best to spend resources in WVA, KY and NC gov mansions
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