FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Hillary strong in OH, weaker in FL and PA (user search)
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  FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Hillary strong in OH, weaker in FL and PA (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Hillary strong in OH, weaker in FL and PA  (Read 3864 times)
Gallium
Jr. Member
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Posts: 270
« on: March 31, 2015, 07:33:38 AM »

That 20 point swing for Paul in PA is ridiculous. Not sure if that's a result of his unusual elasticity in polls or a sampling error here.

Good numbers for Clinton, especially in Ohio, considering how relentless the negative media coverage has been for the past month.
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Gallium
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 270
« Reply #1 on: April 01, 2015, 10:53:19 AM »

Looking at the crosstabs it seems they changed the weighting in PA from D+8 in the last poll to D and R being even. That explains the huge shift in numbers, and why Paul moved 20 points (also Florida went from D+5 to D+3).

So PA isn't in play and there's not much evidence emailgate really affected things at all.
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