FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Hillary strong in OH, weaker in FL and PA (user search)
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  FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Hillary strong in OH, weaker in FL and PA (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL/OH/PA-Quinnipiac: Hillary strong in OH, weaker in FL and PA  (Read 3823 times)
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« on: March 31, 2015, 10:32:50 AM »

Not a single other pollster is showing fluctuations the way Q is. Q also cheated in their final Colorado poll when they cut Gardner's lead. PA will go blue before Ohio and the negative campaigning against another Bush will be Hillary's card.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #1 on: March 31, 2015, 10:47:17 AM »

PA is an even party ID in this poll. It's usually one with a D edge even in bad years so I'm skeptical of this sample. Hillary will probably run on Walker being too right wing. If it's Rubio it makes sense to try to connect with white working class voters on economic issues and hit Rubio for his endless waffling on immigration
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #2 on: March 31, 2015, 10:40:44 PM »

Biggest problem for GOP is that Walker is a bad fit for Florida and Jeb is an even worse fit for Ohio. None of them are a good fit for Virginia.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #3 on: March 31, 2015, 10:52:31 PM »

GOP can win Colorado Florida Ohio Iowa and still lose if Ds win New Hampshire Wisconsin Nevada Pennsylvania and Virginia.
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Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

« Reply #4 on: April 01, 2015, 01:43:43 PM »

Obama's approvals seemed artificially low in all the states. 40-42%. His national numbers right now are 46-48% and even in the 2014 exit poll it was 46% in PA.
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