PPP-National: Walker +3

[RogueBeaver]

Walker 20, Bush 17, Cruz 16, Carson/Rand 10.

[King]

Favorable ratings look really good Walker.

Walker +40 (54-14)
Carson +34 (48-14)
Rubio +33 (55-22)
Huckabee +27 (53-26)
Cruz +22 (52-30)
Paul +19 (49-30)
Perry +13 (41-28)
Bush +2 (39-32)
Christie -33 (24-57)

Teabaggers: Walker/Cruz tied
Women: Cruz (!)
Men: Walker
18-45: Cruz (!)
46-65: Walker
65+: Walker

Weird subsample: Second choice for Ted Cruz supporters
Christie 32%
Walker 25%
Carson 18%
Perry 16%

[Lief 🗽]

young people love them some ted cruz, with his cool rebellious winston churchill tattoos

[King]

Tattoo? RIP Cruz.  The young Republican primary voter will not stand for such degeneracy.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

GO TED GO!!!

[Mr. Morden]

Full results:

Walker 20%
Bush 17%
Cruz 16%
Carson 10%
Paul 10%
Huckabee 6%
Rubio 6%
Christie 4%
Perry 3%

[bedstuy]

Good news for Cruz!  Who knows how long this will last but he got a nice bounce from his announcement.  I really think he has a viable path to win the nomination, he's the conservative candidate in a conservative party.

Walker is more the default guy, people like him insofar that there's nothing offensive about him.  People don't usually catch "not offensive" fever and get excited about this kind of candidate.  

Weird subsample: Second choice for Ted Cruz supporters
Christie 32%
Walker 25%
Carson 18%
Perry 16%

I think you're reading that backwards.  

[Mr. Morden]

Weird subsample: Second choice for Ted Cruz supporters
Christie 32%
Walker 25%
Carson 18%
Perry 16%

I think you're reading that backwards.  

Yeah, according to the poll, the second choice option for Cruz supporters is actually:

Walker 27%
Carson 20%
Huckabee 17%
Rubio 17%
Paul 6%
Perry 4%
Bush 3%
Christie 3%

[King]

Good news for Cruz!  Who knows how long this will last but he got a nice bounce from his announcement.  I really think he has a viable path to win the nomination, he's the conservative candidate in a conservative party.

Walker is more the default guy, people like him insofar that there's nothing offensive about him.  People don't usually catch "not offensive" fever and get excited about this kind of candidate.  

Weird subsample: Second choice for Ted Cruz supporters
Christie 32%
Walker 25%
Carson 18%
Perry 16%

I think you're reading that backwards.  

Ah, then Weird subsample: Second choice for Chris Christie supporters
Cruz 32%
Rubio 12%
Bush 6%
Walker 3%

[bedstuy]

Well, Christie is at 3% in a poll with a 5% margin of error.  It's not going to be a reliable sample.

[IceSpear]

Announcement bumps are expected. The question is if they stick.

[King]

Well, Christie is at 3% in a poll with a 5% margin of error.  It's not going to be a reliable sample.

Obviously, but I decided to have a little fun with it and consolidated all single digit recipients into their 2nd choice breakdown, to add a little meat to the "Big 5"

Results are:

Walker 23.2%
Bush 19.9
Cruz 19.1
Carson 12.0
Paul 11.7
NOTA 14.2

[njwes]

Carson really needs to be excluded from this primary polling, it just mucks it all up.

[IceSpear]

Carson really needs to be excluded from this primary polling, it just mucks it all up.

Why should he be excluded when he's running? He'll implode eventually on his own, probably after brief stint as flavor of the month.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Well, Christie is at 3% in a poll with a 5% margin of error.  It's not going to be a reliable sample.

Don't worry, MOE gets smaller for smaller percents. We can rule out the possibility of Christie having -2%.