Will EVERY realistic Democratic presidential nominee win ME-02?
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Question: Will EVERY realistic Democratic presidential nominee win ME-02?
#1
Yes.
#2
No.
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Author Topic: Will EVERY realistic Democratic presidential nominee win ME-02?  (Read 596 times)
solarstorm
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« on: April 02, 2015, 09:58:48 PM »
Maine's second congressional district has been retaken by the GOP for the first time since 1992.
And even Mike Michaud didn't manage to win this district when running for governor.
Is ME-02 in danger for the Democrats?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: April 02, 2015, 10:40:11 PM »
It will go atlas red as long as the democratic nominee is getting 290+ electoral votes. Below that, and things start to become dicey.
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King
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« Reply #2 on: April 02, 2015, 10:46:26 PM »
We're more likely to see a 3-1 split in favor of the GOP than the GOP win ME-02 and not do well enough in ME-01 to also carry the state. So yes, it would take a bad Dem nominee.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: April 02, 2015, 11:41:27 PM »
The only realistic Dem nominee is Hillary, so yes.
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Sumner 1868
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« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2015, 12:01:05 AM »
Probably.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: April 03, 2015, 01:06:31 AM »
Quote from: IceSpear on April 02, 2015, 11:41:27 PM
The only realistic Dem nominee is Hillary, so yes.

If Hillary has a stroke/heart attack/whatever (or surprises the world and passes on a run, or Emailgate gets a smoking gun that tanks her favorability below 40%) between now and the election and therefore can't be nominated, there are literally dozens of possible nominees.

To say that Hillary is the nominee in 2016 in every IMAGINABLE situation, over a year before the convention and roughly 9-10 months before Iowa, is just beyond silly.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: April 03, 2015, 01:49:33 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on April 03, 2015, 01:06:31 AM
Quote from: IceSpear on April 02, 2015, 11:41:27 PM
The only realistic Dem nominee is Hillary, so yes.

If Hillary has a stroke/heart attack/whatever (or surprises the world and passes on a run, or Emailgate gets a smoking gun that tanks her favorability below 40%) between now and the election and therefore can't be nominated, there are literally dozens of possible nominees.

To say that Hillary is the nominee in 2016 in every IMAGINABLE situation, over a year before the convention and roughly 9-10 months before Iowa, is just beyond silly.

It didn't say imaginable, it said realistic. All those scenarios you listed are very unrealistic.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #7 on: April 03, 2015, 08:29:41 AM »
Yes, she will.
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bedstuy
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« Reply #8 on: April 03, 2015, 08:41:06 AM »
At most one Democratic presidential nominee will win ME-02 in the 2016 election because that's how Presidential elections work.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #9 on: April 03, 2015, 10:47:19 AM »

Elizabeth Warren will have no trouble winning ME-02, I agree.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #10 on: April 03, 2015, 12:15:27 PM »
Funny when you google ME-2 you get a bunch of ads for Despicable Me 2.
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