WI: Tony Blair vs. David Cameron vs. Nick Clegg in 2010?

[hangfan91]

WI Tony Blair doesn't resign in 2007 and lived till 2010 politically to fight the election? How would you have voted?

Also, do you think he could have delivered a fourth consecutive majority government? Or would he have fallen like Brown did?

[Phony Moderate]

Tory majority with the Lib Dems second in the popular vote.

[Blair]

Yeah assuming credit crunch still happens in 08/09 Blair isn't surviving, and the liberals would easily get 90+ seats whilst coming second on the share of the vote (not seats)

The only way that Blair could survive until 2010 is for
-No Iraq war in 2003
-Sacked Brown as Chancellor in 2005
-Somehow avoids the 2008 crash

[Sec. of State Superique]

Would vote for Clegg.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Tory.

[Del Tachi]

CON 352
LAB 184
LIB 86
OTH 28

CON majority

[BigVic]

CON 352
LAB 208
Lib Dem 56
Others 30

CON majority of 58. UK will vote for a change with a Conservative majority after 13 years of Labour rule

[SATW]

While I do like Blair, i'd vote for the Tories and Cameron. The UK needed a change.

[Phony Moderate]

This would have been good for the smaller parties. I'd imagine the PV vote to be:

Con - 33
Lab - 26
Lib Dems - 27
UKIP - 5
BNP - 3
Greens - 2

Though UKIP's share still pales in comparison to 2015.

[Dancing with Myself]

If Blair somehow lasted that long with those conditions he would go out in an epic collapse similar to what happened with Major. Very ironic considering that's how Blair came in.

See Cameron and the torries winning comfortably with the Lib Dem's fighting Labor in many seats. IDK if Lib's could get 2nd place but that could have been their best chance at doing so. 

[BigVic]

House of commons Composition made by. Very useful for WI's

http://tools.wmflabs.org/parliamentdiagram/westminsterinputform.html

[Vega]

^^Slightly off topic, but thanks. I've been wondering what program the Wikipedia editors use on their parliament composition pages.

I just wish I could understand it better.

[Kingpoleon]

The Lib Dems might actually gain seats in 2015 while everyone else loses seats. Labour would still be too unpopular to win only five years removed, and the Conservatives won't have the seats to gain.

[JackV982]

David Cameron

[tpfkaw]

It is worth noting that because of the way votes are distributed, PV gains for the Tories and Lib Dems tend to cancel each other out. See 1983, 2005 and OTL 2010, or 1997 and 2015 for the reverse cases.