Monmouth: Close race for GOP nomination, #Trumpmentum.
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  Monmouth: Close race for GOP nomination, #Trumpmentum.
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Author Topic: Monmouth: Close race for GOP nomination, #Trumpmentum.  (Read 760 times)
Senator Cris
Cris
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« on: April 06, 2015, 10:50:29 AM »

Bush 13%
Walker 11%
Cruz 11%
Huckabee 9%
Carson 7%
Trump 7%
Paul 6%
Christie 5%
Perry 5%
Rubio 5%
Fiorina 1%
Graham 1%
Jindal 1%
Kasich 1%
Santorum 1%
Bolton 0%
Pataki 0%
Others 1%

If the only two candidates for the Republican nomination were...

Walker 46%
Bush 42%

Walker 58%
Christie 26%

Bush 54%
Christie 28%

Cruz 41%
Walker 36%

Bush 49%
Cruz 40%

Cruz 55%
Christie 30%

http://www.monmouth.edu/assets/0/32212254770/32212254991/32212254992/32212254994/32212254995/30064771087/597ba39c-825d-4da6-9fe8-ab47201b82fe.pdf
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King
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« Reply #1 on: April 06, 2015, 10:52:38 AM »

Cruz beating Walker 1-on-1? Oh dear.
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Senator Cris
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« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2015, 10:53:26 AM »

Favorability ratings:

Bolton 21-19
Bush 49-31
Carson 39-16
Christie 33-42
Cruz 49-19
Fiorina 18-20
Graham 18-32
Huckabee 53-21
Jindal 30-21
Kasich 24-14
Pataki 15-33
Paul 47-22
Perry 42-20
Rubio 41-18
Santorum 36-22
Trump 28-56
Walker 44-9
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Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: April 06, 2015, 10:55:17 AM »

Great numbers for Cruz.
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King
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« Reply #4 on: April 06, 2015, 11:27:56 AM »

Bush 13%
Walker 11%
Cruz 11%
Huckabee 9%
Carson 7%
Trump 7%

What the hell? Out of those 6, only one (or maybe two) has any chance of beating Hillary.

You're on the misguided assumption that the majority of the GOP is at all sane or fit to govern at this point in time.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: April 06, 2015, 11:31:19 AM »

4-way tie for first, 7-way tie for second. rofl
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King
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« Reply #6 on: April 06, 2015, 11:39:22 AM »

Bush 13%
Walker 11%
Cruz 11%
Huckabee 9%
Carson 7%
Trump 7%

What the hell? Out of those 6, only one (or maybe two) has any chance of beating Hillary.

You're on the misguided assumption that the majority of the GOP is at all sane or fit to govern at this point in time.

Yeah, it's sad to see Kasich, Paul and Pataki polling so badly. Bush will probably be the nominee...

Bush is an aloof trainwreck. He's exactly the kind of bad candidate coasting on name recognition that the media is trying to paint Hillary as.

This poll tells me Ted Cruz is going to be the nominee, because once Jeb gets beat up in the debates and it become Cruz vs Walker, suddenly Cruz is in the lead.
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Gallium
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« Reply #7 on: April 06, 2015, 12:15:19 PM »

Bush 13%
Walker 11%
Cruz 11%
Huckabee 9%
Carson 7%
Trump 7%

What the hell? Out of those 6, only one (or maybe two) has any chance of beating Hillary.

You're on the misguided assumption that the majority of the GOP is at all sane or fit to govern at this point in time.

Yeah, it's sad to see Kasich, Paul and Pataki polling so badly. Bush will probably be the nominee...

Bush is an aloof trainwreck. He's exactly the kind of bad candidate coasting on name recognition that the media is trying to paint Hillary as.

This poll tells me Ted Cruz is going to be the nominee, because once Jeb gets beat up in the debates and it become Cruz vs Walker, suddenly Cruz is in the lead.

Nah, I think his lead is largely based on the fact that he was the first candidate to announce that he is running. The anti-Bush vote will split and therefore allow him to become the nominee IMO.
Huckabee won't run and Carson probably won't make it past Iowa. There's a lot of room for Cruz to grow. Meanwhile Romney dropped out and Christie imploded and Bush as the only serious establishment choice is still stuck in the low teens. He's even less popular than Romney was in 2012 and Romney was running against a load of clowns.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #8 on: April 06, 2015, 12:32:24 PM »

Walker seems to have peaked early. I wonder if an announcement in April or more likely May will bounce him back up in the polls.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: April 06, 2015, 02:51:20 PM »

#Cruzmentum
#Trumpmentum
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #10 on: April 06, 2015, 05:10:45 PM »
« Edited: April 06, 2015, 08:17:49 PM by Eraserhead »

Cruz beating Walker 1-on-1? Oh dear.

Yet Bush beats Cruz while Walker beats Bush. Okay then.
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King
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« Reply #11 on: April 06, 2015, 05:11:59 PM »

Cruz beating Walker 1-on-1? Oh dear.

Yet Bush beats Cruz while Walker beat Bush. Okay then.

Classic GOP game of Rock - Paper - Scissors (or Bomb - Bible - Tax Cuts as it's commonly known).
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #12 on: April 07, 2015, 08:14:22 AM »
« Edited: April 07, 2015, 08:22:02 AM by Bull Moose Base »

Bush 13%
Walker 11%
Cruz 11%
Huckabee 9%
Carson 7%
Trump 7%

What the hell? Out of those 6, only one (or maybe two) has any chance of beating Hillary.

You're on the misguided assumption that the majority of the GOP is at all sane or fit to govern at this point in time.

Yeah, it's sad to see Kasich, Paul and Pataki polling so badly. Bush will probably be the nominee...

Bush is an aloof trainwreck. He's exactly the kind of bad candidate coasting on name recognition that the media is trying to paint Hillary as.

This poll tells me Ted Cruz is going to be the nominee, because once Jeb gets beat up in the debates and it become Cruz vs Walker, suddenly Cruz is in the lead.

Nah, I think his lead is largely based on the fact that he was the first candidate to announce that he is running. The anti-Bush vote will split and therefore allow him to become the nominee IMO.

Everyone here thinks that's how Romney won in 2012 but that's not really true. He was leading an Iowa poll with days to go and the 4 more conservative choices- Perry, Newt, Bachamnn and Santorum tied in the low-mid teens before Santorum surged and beat Romney. Romney was also leading in South Carolina with less than a week to go. After Newt won South Carolina, he was dominating Santorum as the anti-Romney and after Romney destroyed him and Santorum won some states in February, he dominated Newt as the anti-Romney. The reason Romney beat them both is not splitting so much as they were much more vulnerable opponents than Walker or Cruz are. That said, they may both be flawed enough for Bush to crush with all his money. They'll just be tougher than Romney's opponents.

(By the way, Paul and Kasich have little in common besides little chance to be the nominee.)
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