Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015
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Author Topic: Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015  (Read 92201 times)
RogueBeaver
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« Reply #175 on: April 21, 2015, 03:17:44 PM »
Wildrose would. Ethics reform, anti-corruption exposes galore, then quick dissolution and flash polarize to vaporize what's left of the Tories.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #176 on: April 21, 2015, 03:45:08 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on April 21, 2015, 03:17:44 PM
Wildrose would. Ethics reform, anti-corruption exposes galore, then quick dissolution and flash polarize to vaporize what's left of the Tories.

Will they find a cure to cancer, too? Listening to you, Wildrose would realize your wildest dreams.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #177 on: April 21, 2015, 03:50:30 PM »
My wildest Albertan dream is ending the dynasty, whether Wildrose or the NDP does it. I don't think any successor will work miracles - just do a better job than the incumbents.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #178 on: April 21, 2015, 04:32:26 PM »
My wildest dream is a realigning election... Looks like that one will be achieved Cheesy
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #179 on: April 21, 2015, 04:34:27 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on April 21, 2015, 09:01:34 AM
Question is whether the Tories hold or completely collapse like LPC '11/PC '93.

I wouldn't count them out yet. They still have the debates and two weeks to scare centrists back into the fold.
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Holmes
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« Reply #180 on: April 21, 2015, 08:41:51 PM »
Quote from: DC Al Fine on April 21, 2015, 04:34:27 PM
Quote from: RogueBeaver on April 21, 2015, 09:01:34 AM
Question is whether the Tories hold or completely collapse like LPC '11/PC '93.

I wouldn't count them out yet. They still have the debates and two weeks to scare centrists back into the fold.

Maybe, but those two weeks can work against them too. We'll have to see how the debates go.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #181 on: April 22, 2015, 11:29:57 PM »
Debate is on Thursday, 6:30 to 8 PM. Wierd hours, but there is a Flame match later that night.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #182 on: April 23, 2015, 04:56:14 AM »
Quote from: MaxQue on April 22, 2015, 11:29:57 PM
Debate is on Thursday, 6:30 to 8 PM. Wierd hours, but there is a Flame match later that night.

6:30 to 8 in what time zone?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #183 on: April 23, 2015, 05:27:55 AM »
Quote from: DC Al Fine on April 23, 2015, 04:56:14 AM
Quote from: MaxQue on April 22, 2015, 11:29:57 PM
Debate is on Thursday, 6:30 to 8 PM. Wierd hours, but there is a Flame match later that night.

6:30 to 8 in what time zone?

Their, I would assume?
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #184 on: April 23, 2015, 07:50:52 AM »
Quote from: MaxQue on April 23, 2015, 05:27:55 AM
Quote from: DC Al Fine on April 23, 2015, 04:56:14 AM
Quote from: MaxQue on April 22, 2015, 11:29:57 PM
Debate is on Thursday, 6:30 to 8 PM. Wierd hours, but there is a Flame match later that night.

6:30 to 8 in what time zone?

Their, I would assume?

Which would be Mountain Daylight Time (UTC -6).
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #185 on: April 23, 2015, 07:53:14 AM »
Typically excellent Wells longread.

PC Edmonton star candidate insults his fellow Edmontonians' civic loyalty.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #186 on: April 23, 2015, 08:42:11 AM »
Two new constituency polls from MainStreet:

Fort McMurray-Conklin (Brian Jean's riding):
*WRP: 43% (Jean)
*PC: 32% (inc.)
*NDP: 18%
*Lib: 7%

Highwood (Danielle Smith's riding):
*WRP: 44%
*PC: 29%
*NDP: 20%
*AP: 3%
*Grn: 2%
*SC: 1%

The Fort Mac race is closer than my model suggests, but that region is notoriously hard to poll and will have an abysmal turnout.

Highwood is close to where my model is at, except the NDP number is higher than expected. 20% in an exurban Calgary seat would be a phenomenal accomplishment, especially in a hotly contested seat like Highwood.

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You kip if you want to...
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #187 on: April 23, 2015, 10:36:05 AM »
The Wildrose defection looks even more hilarious now than it did then.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #188 on: April 23, 2015, 10:57:06 AM »
At the end of Chrétien's term a bunch of BQ and PC MPs joined him because they wanted to surf the supposedly impending Martinami here. Didn't quite work out as planned.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #189 on: April 23, 2015, 04:03:19 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on April 23, 2015, 10:57:06 AM
At the end of Chrétien's term a bunch of BQ and PC MPs joined him because they wanted to surf the supposedly impending Martinami here. Didn't quite work out as planned.

And ironically the most principled floor crosser was probably Keith Martin Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #190 on: April 23, 2015, 06:50:35 PM »
Debate livestream/blog will be up in about 25 minutes.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #191 on: April 23, 2015, 07:28:24 PM »
Debate aims:

Jean & Notley: Don't screw up
Prentice: Make Jean & Notley screw up. Look presidential
Swann: Try and get noticed
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #192 on: April 23, 2015, 07:32:08 PM »
Live now.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #193 on: April 23, 2015, 07:38:04 PM »
Swann's opening statement is basically Notley's Tongue
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #194 on: April 23, 2015, 07:44:58 PM »
Gang-up already starting, hitting Prentice on education.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #195 on: April 23, 2015, 07:51:41 PM »
Prentice seems to be going 50/50 in his attacks against Jean & Notley
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #196 on: April 23, 2015, 08:00:27 PM »
Prentice is mostly concentrating on Notley. Only threat, only viable pool to poach from, something else?
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #197 on: April 23, 2015, 08:12:45 PM »
Quote from: RogueBeaver on April 23, 2015, 08:00:27 PM
Prentice is mostly concentrating on Notley. Only threat, only viable pool to poach from, something else?

Not sure. He's hitting Jean on spending cuts now
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #198 on: April 23, 2015, 08:13:16 PM »
Line of the night from Notley: "That's not a good way to speak to a donor Jim"
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #199 on: April 23, 2015, 08:15:27 PM »
BURN. Her style's great even if I disagree with her on absence. Jean still fixated on taxes.
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