Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015
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  Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015
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Author Topic: Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015  (Read 92324 times)
politicallefty
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« Reply #650 on: May 05, 2015, 09:55:50 PM »

It certainly looks like the polls were right.

NDP is sweeping Edmonton and cleaning up big time in Calgary.

Prentice only leads by 6.4%, with 18/80 reporting in Calgary-Foothills.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #651 on: May 05, 2015, 09:56:28 PM »

The Services to the Persons minister lost 70-15 against NDP. In Edmonton, obviously.
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exnaderite
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« Reply #652 on: May 05, 2015, 09:56:35 PM »

The PCs are second in popular vote, but third in seat count. FPTP bites in the ass.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #653 on: May 05, 2015, 09:56:39 PM »

CTV calls a majority
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #654 on: May 05, 2015, 09:56:43 PM »

I think Hell has officially frozen over.
Anyone else see pigs flying across the skies right now?

I can't help but wonder how much of a bellweather this is for the nationwide election in October.
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Sumner 1868
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« Reply #655 on: May 05, 2015, 09:58:09 PM »

Far-right is not amused.

"Alberta is now the laughing stock of Canada"

"I wanna puke."

"Well, ndp voters, get ready for your so called change. Change from a good province to crap as the next 4 years they will lay waste to us all."

"Recession here we come. Sell your house before the plummet. Sell all your oil shares before they reneg on contracts. Move away to find a job. A sad, sad day in Alberta."

Several are calling Notley "the Red Queen."
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Ebsy
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« Reply #656 on: May 05, 2015, 09:59:13 PM »

The PC Cabinet is getting absolutely decimated.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #657 on: May 05, 2015, 09:59:58 PM »

PCs just suffered another big drop to 11. NDP at 56. Almost didn't notice AP coming off the map.
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Holmes
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« Reply #658 on: May 05, 2015, 10:00:40 PM »

Gun to head: who wins Peace River?
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #659 on: May 05, 2015, 10:01:09 PM »

"he (Prentice) might no longer be the leader of the party within a matter of days"
Might as well commit seppuku at this point.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #660 on: May 05, 2015, 10:01:27 PM »

The PC Cabinet is getting absolutely decimated.

Yeah, only three of them are leading at the moment LOL
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Vosem
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« Reply #661 on: May 05, 2015, 10:01:28 PM »

The Alberta Party's lost their seat, but Swann is hanging on. NDP leads 54-19-13, with Wildrose in second. Seems alright; the NDP will get a term or maybe two, the PCs will fall apart the way parties of power do when they no longer have it, and then Wildrose will storm into office and probably stay there too long as well.
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #662 on: May 05, 2015, 10:01:56 PM »

I'm seeing 44-20-13-1, but those numbers don't add up. What gives?
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #663 on: May 05, 2015, 10:02:50 PM »

The Alberta Party's lost their seat, but Swann is hanging on. NDP leads 54-19-13, with Wildrose in second. Seems alright; the NDP will get a term or maybe two, the PCs will fall apart the way parties of power do when they no longer have it, and then Wildrose will storm into office and probably stay there too long as well.
Not if all the conservatives move from the province first Wink
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Vosem
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« Reply #664 on: May 05, 2015, 10:03:19 PM »

I'm seeing 44-20-13-1, but those numbers don't add up. What gives?

You're forgetting to count seats that have been called for one party or another (just the NDP right now, actually). NDP leads 55-20-10-1-1 right now. Wildrose on double the seats PC have, even though they trail 25%-28% in the popular vote. Shades of 1993.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #665 on: May 05, 2015, 10:03:59 PM »

PC down to 9, now.
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jaichind
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« Reply #666 on: May 05, 2015, 10:04:15 PM »

From a vote share point of view they have been stable for a while.  If this holds than the PC claim that the opinion polls underrated them and overrate NDP is correct.  It was just nowhere enough to save PC.
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Holmes
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« Reply #667 on: May 05, 2015, 10:04:36 PM »

Was just looking at Wetaskiwin-Camrose when it went from PC to NDP, and brought the PC's seat count to single digits. lol
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MaxQue
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« Reply #668 on: May 05, 2015, 10:04:54 PM »

Chavez fan won big in Edmonton-Ellerslie 62-17.
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Vosem
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« Reply #669 on: May 05, 2015, 10:05:15 PM »

Gun to head: who wins Peace River?

Considering PCs lead by nine percentage points and have led there nearly all night (NDP was briefly ahead), probably them. Also, PCs are down to just nine seats right now. Ag's warning about how good vote distribution collapses at low numbers is looking prescient (though some projections had them in the low single digits; seems like they'll avoid that fate at least).
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Bacon King
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« Reply #670 on: May 05, 2015, 10:06:35 PM »

PRENTICE LEAD DOWN TO THREE PERCENT
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politicallefty
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« Reply #671 on: May 05, 2015, 10:06:49 PM »

"he (Prentice) might no longer be the leader of the party within a matter of days"
Might as well commit seppuku at this point.

His own seat is far from safe now. It's a 3.8% margin with 30/80 in.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
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« Reply #672 on: May 05, 2015, 10:07:44 PM »

This is going to make a great Downfall video.
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Holmes
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« Reply #673 on: May 05, 2015, 10:07:47 PM »

Lots of NDP-PC slugfests going on.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #674 on: May 05, 2015, 10:07:53 PM »

Good lead for NDP (300) in Dunvegan-Central Peace-Notley. Colin Piquette (son of a NDP MLA who did a scandal asking a question in French in the Assembly, years ago) leads by 600 votes, too.
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