Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015 (user search)
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Author Topic: Alberta General Election - May 5th, 2015  (Read 92579 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: April 08, 2015, 06:52:15 PM »
Even the pollsters themselves don't think this will hold. Which isn't to say the dynasty isn't a bit itchy.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: April 09, 2015, 07:01:06 AM »
308 projection: tiny PC majority even with 31%.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2015, 10:49:09 AM »
Braid on the dynastic strategy: demonize your opponents as extreme for adopting your own past and present policies.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: April 11, 2015, 07:02:35 PM »
I hope DL's right, but we'll see if these # hold up.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #4 on: April 11, 2015, 07:56:08 PM »
Or as Kinsella put it, the legislative equivalent of trying to suck and blow simultaneously.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #5 on: April 15, 2015, 11:55:31 AM »
None of the local experts (Stephen Carter, Janet Brown) I've seen interviewed believe these numbers will hold, though.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #6 on: April 15, 2015, 12:36:41 PM »
Yep, behaviour is the best predictor.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #7 on: April 16, 2015, 03:15:53 PM »
This all seems too good to be true, but still awesome to watch.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #8 on: April 16, 2015, 09:44:32 PM »
Paula Simons on how the dynasty has disarmed themselves on social issues.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #9 on: April 20, 2015, 06:58:33 PM »
Braid: distinct minority possibility. IMO if Wildrose holds the balance of power - finish off the dynasty.

Will Prentice follow in Turner/Campbell/Martin's footsteps?

PC Edmonton-McClung manager fired after his Islamophobic social media profile is exposed.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #10 on: April 21, 2015, 06:54:24 AM »
Tim: Wildrose will do that. The dynasty, like their dead federal cousin, will happily die rather than surrender the P.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #11 on: April 21, 2015, 09:01:34 AM »
Question is whether the Tories hold or completely collapse like LPC '11/PC '93.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #12 on: April 21, 2015, 03:17:44 PM »
Wildrose would. Ethics reform, anti-corruption exposes galore, then quick dissolution and flash polarize to vaporize what's left of the Tories.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #13 on: April 21, 2015, 03:50:30 PM »
My wildest Albertan dream is ending the dynasty, whether Wildrose or the NDP does it. I don't think any successor will work miracles - just do a better job than the incumbents.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #14 on: April 23, 2015, 07:53:14 AM »
Typically excellent Wells longread.

PC Edmonton star candidate insults his fellow Edmontonians' civic loyalty.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #15 on: April 23, 2015, 10:57:06 AM »
At the end of Chrétien's term a bunch of BQ and PC MPs joined him because they wanted to surf the supposedly impending Martinami here. Didn't quite work out as planned.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #16 on: April 23, 2015, 06:50:35 PM »
Debate livestream/blog will be up in about 25 minutes.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #17 on: April 23, 2015, 07:32:08 PM »
Live now.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #18 on: April 23, 2015, 07:44:58 PM »
Gang-up already starting, hitting Prentice on education.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #19 on: April 23, 2015, 08:00:27 PM »
Prentice is mostly concentrating on Notley. Only threat, only viable pool to poach from, something else?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #20 on: April 23, 2015, 08:15:27 PM »
BURN. Her style's great even if I disagree with her on absence. Jean still fixated on taxes.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #21 on: April 23, 2015, 08:38:53 PM »
Poorly.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #22 on: April 23, 2015, 08:59:02 PM »
« Edited: April 23, 2015, 09:01:20 PM by RogueBeaver »
So the only question is if there's outside-MOE movement, who drops more on Monday: Prentice or Jean.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #23 on: April 23, 2015, 09:12:00 PM »
^ Key point. Other thing to consider: how many people paid attention, considering there was nothing terribly exciting besides mathsplaining.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #24 on: April 24, 2015, 10:14:07 AM »
It's Forum. Will wait for other polls next week.
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