I see West Virginia being a lean D for Clinton
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  I see West Virginia being a lean D for Clinton
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Author Topic: I see West Virginia being a lean D for Clinton  (Read 3729 times)
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bronz4141
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« on: April 08, 2015, 02:59:48 PM »

I see it.  West Virginia I'd tough. Hillary will win WV over a Jeb Bush because she appeals better there. If Hillary campaigns in places like Westover,  Beckley,  she could win with 51% of the vote.
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« Reply #1 on: April 08, 2015, 03:04:07 PM »

West Virginia is Solid Non-Atlas Red at the Presidential and Senate level unless your last name is Manchin. We'll have to wait until 2016 to get an answer on the governors' side of things, but Hillary has no hope at all of winning the state.
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« Reply #2 on: April 08, 2015, 03:07:00 PM »

I think WV will be competitive in 2020. I mean, look, it is already happening: The part of WV that borders solid D Virginia, is already trending Democratic. LOOK:




Can you see the red dot there? FAIRFAX COUNTY ALL OVER AGAIN !!!!!!111!!!!
#READYFORBATTLEGROUNDWESTVIRGINIA
#GOSOLIDDVIRGINIA!!!!
What is that map of anyways? 2014 Senate by legislative district? 2012 President by legislative district?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: April 08, 2015, 03:17:53 PM »

I think WV will be competitive in 2020. I mean, look, it is already happening: The part of WV that borders solid D Virginia, is already trending Democratic. LOOK:




Can you see the red dot there? FAIRFAX COUNTY ALL OVER AGAIN !!!!!!111!!!!
#READYFORBATTLEGROUNDWESTVIRGINIA
#GOSOLIDDVIRGINIA!!!!

Wow, at this rate West Virginia will be solid D in 127 years! That trend is unmistakable.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: April 08, 2015, 03:18:28 PM »

If WV is lean D, Clinton will be winning NY with 75% of the vote.
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« Reply #5 on: April 08, 2015, 03:19:01 PM »

If WV is lean D, Clinton will be winning NY with 75% of the vote.

More like 90%.
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« Reply #6 on: April 08, 2015, 03:58:14 PM »

If she becomes pro-life and uses "Coal is the Future of America" as her campaign slogan, she could definitely outperform John Kerry.
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« Reply #7 on: April 08, 2015, 05:05:30 PM »

I think WV and KY will be very close wth Hillary and WV is winnable for her
Virginia will be close too but if I must bet about my life I would give the GOP the edge there
VA was perfect for Obama  but AA`s numbers will be significant lower and yout vote too
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #8 on: April 08, 2015, 05:05:53 PM »

I think WV will be competitive in 2020. I mean, look, it is already happening: The part of WV that borders solid D Virginia, is already trending Democratic. LOOK:




Can you see the red dot there? FAIRFAX COUNTY ALL OVER AGAIN !!!!!!111!!!!
#READYFORBATTLEGROUNDWESTVIRGINIA
#GOSOLIDDVIRGINIA!!!!
What is that map of anyways? 2014 Senate by legislative district? 2012 President by legislative district?

This.


Nope, I made that map.  It's of the 2012 presidential Election by LD. 
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2015, 05:07:43 PM »

With the crucial battlegrounds being Alabama, Oklahoma, and Idaho.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #10 on: April 08, 2015, 05:12:59 PM »

She'll outperform Obama, but when you're talking about Appalachia that ain't worth diddly.
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NerdyBohemian
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« Reply #11 on: April 08, 2015, 05:14:29 PM »

I think WV and KY will be very close wth Hillary and WV is winnable for her
Virginia will be close too but if I must bet about my life I would give the GOP the edge there
VA was perfect for Obama  but AA`s numbers will be significant lower and yout vote too


I disagree. Not because I'm a partisan hack, but due to the 2013 and 2014 elections in Virginia. Both times the Democrat won by the skin of their teeth solely due to NoVA. I don't see Clinton winning WV either. She will certainly outperform Obama but that isn't too difficult.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #12 on: April 08, 2015, 05:14:40 PM »

Safe R... Hillary won't top 30%
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solarstorm
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« Reply #13 on: April 08, 2015, 05:23:57 PM »

I think WV will be competitive in 2020. I mean, look, it is already happening: The part of WV that borders solid D Virginia, is already trending Democratic. LOOK:




Can you see the red dot there? FAIRFAX COUNTY ALL OVER AGAIN !!!!!!111!!!!
#READYFORBATTLEGROUNDWESTVIRGINIA
#GOSOLIDDVIRGINIA!!!!

You forgot the red dot in Charleston!!!
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CELTICEMPIRE
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« Reply #14 on: April 08, 2015, 05:28:38 PM »

But Republicans more than make up for it with Colorado being solid R.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: April 08, 2015, 07:22:15 PM »


This is almost as dumb as thinking she'll win it.
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Fuzzybigfoot
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« Reply #16 on: April 11, 2015, 09:01:46 PM »

I think WV will be competitive in 2020. I mean, look, it is already happening: The part of WV that borders solid D Virginia, is already trending Democratic. LOOK:




Can you see the red dot there? FAIRFAX COUNTY ALL OVER AGAIN !!!!!!111!!!!
#READYFORBATTLEGROUNDWESTVIRGINIA
#GOSOLIDDVIRGINIA!!!!
What is that map of anyways? 2014 Senate by legislative district? 2012 President by legislative district?

This.


Nope, I made that map.  It's of the 2012 presidential Election by LD. 

Sorry. Sad I thought that it was from 2014 because the results in that area were quite close, too and Obama is much more unpopular than Tennant, so...

Don't worry about it.  Wink
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #17 on: April 11, 2015, 10:46:32 PM »

But Republicans more than make up for it with Colorado being solid R.
If Clinton runs, I feel like the Dems will lose Colorado for a generation.

On a serious note, I would be quite worried about Iowa for Dems, particularly if the GOP flexes it's blue collar side more.  After 2014, I'm starting to seriously wonder if there will be a mass rural collapse a la WV.
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DS0816
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« Reply #18 on: April 12, 2015, 06:39:12 PM »

I see it.  West Virginia I'd tough. Hillary will win WV over a Jeb Bush because she appeals better there. If Hillary campaigns in places like Westover,  Beckley,  she could win with 51% of the vote.

If Hillary Clinton wins the presidency with West Virginia in her column, she will have erased the 179,386 margin that losing Republican Mitt Romney had in having carried the state in 2012. If she were to flip that state and carry 51 percent of the vote…in terms of 2012 numbers, she would win the state by 13,441 raw votes. That means 192,827 raw votes shifted from 2012 Republican carriage to become a 2016 Democratic pickup. If those results are being yielded just out of West Virginia, never mind the percentage of statewide vote from New York. Other states, which tend to be similar in voting to that of West Virginia, would also emerge as pickups.

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