Evan McMullin is on the ballot in Colorado (1 down, 50 to go)
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  Evan McMullin is on the ballot in Colorado (1 down, 50 to go)
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Author Topic: Evan McMullin is on the ballot in Colorado (1 down, 50 to go)  (Read 1520 times)
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« on: August 12, 2016, 02:06:35 AM »

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/291216-independent-candidate-evan-mcmullin-gets-on-first-state

He paid $1000 to get on Colorado's ballot. He can also pay money to get on the ballot in Louisiana as well.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1 on: August 12, 2016, 02:12:51 AM »

Eh, I guess it can't hurt Clinton, but I haven't heard much of anything out of them yet; on this trajectory, they're gonna need some sudden big stars and deep pockets to join on to register any sort of numbers anywhere (and those people are far more likely to flee to Johnson).
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #2 on: August 12, 2016, 02:16:03 AM »

Eh, I guess it can't hurt Clinton, but I haven't heard much of anything out of them yet; on this trajectory, they're gonna need some sudden big stars and deep pockets to join on to register any sort of numbers anywhere (and those people are far more likely to flee to Johnson).

He might dampen Johnson's popular vote slightly among Western non-Mormons. The big question is whether or not Mormons go for McMullin, Johnson, Clinton, Trump, or if they stay home. Assuming he gets on the ballot in Utah, I could see him getting a few percent, but not much more. Outside of maybe Idaho, I don't think he'll break 1% in any state. His national total will probably be about 0.1%

Who could've guessed that the Mormon vote would be up for grabs?
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2016, 02:45:22 AM »

I'll try to guess where else he gets on (skipping states where it's already too late):

Alabama - 5k signatures by 8/18 - very unrealistic he'll collect that many in so little time - NO
Arizona - ~36k signatures from voters who are "not affiliated with a qualified political party" by 9/9 - not impossible, but sounds difficult - NO
Idaho - 1k signatures by 8/24 - No guarantee, but I guess it's easy enough - YES
Iowa - 1.5k signatures by 8/19 (signers must be collectively from at least ten different counties) - hmmm....is he going to make a serious effort here or not..tough call but I'll guess - NO
Kentucky - 5k signatures by 9/9 - yeah, this isn't too bad - YES
Lousiana - Monetary Fee per OP - YES
Minnesota - 2k signatures by 8/23 - tough but third parties generally overperform here - YES
Mississippi - 1k signatures by 9/9 - YES
Montana - 5k signatures by 8/17 - see AL - NO
New York - 15k signatures by 8/23 (at least 100 in each CD) - just not enough time for this sort of thing - NO
North Dakota - 4k signatures by 9/5 - tough but doable - YES
Oregon - ~17.9k signatures by 8/30 - LOL NO
Rhode Island - 1k signatures by 9/9 - YES
Tennessee - 275 signatures by 8/18 - as long as he gets there quickly it's a - YES
Utah - 1k signatures by 8/15 - well that deadline kind of stinks for him. Maybe Romney can pull a string or two, maybe McMullin is already busy collecting (he is headquarted here). I'll be bold and say... - YES
Virginia - 5k signatures by 8/30 (at least 200 in each CD) - tough but doable - YES
Wyoming - ~3.3k signatures by 8/30 - YES

https://ballotpedia.org/Filing_deadlines_and_signature_requirements_for_independent_presidential_candidates,_2016

 

Green - Already on or predicted to get on - 11 states, 85 electoral votes
Blue - Could technically get on but most likely won't - 6 states, 65 electoral votes
Gray - Already too late - 33 states + D.C., 388 electoral votes

Also, I will point out that the CPD requires you have enough ballot access to theoretically be able to win the election without faithless electors - so yeah, absolute 0% chance of McMullin being in the debates.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2016, 08:44:30 AM »

He's already on the ballot in Arkansas as well I think.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2016, 08:57:51 AM »

If he can't get on the ballot in Utah then what is the point of his candidacy?
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2016, 09:20:16 AM »

Doesn't look like many voters will have the opportunity to vote for the bald, sullen, right-wing Some Guy candidacy that we'd all been craving.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2016, 10:35:01 AM »

He wasnt included in the latest Marist poll..I'd expect Trump's 29% to tick down when he is
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Holmes
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« Reply #8 on: August 12, 2016, 10:50:22 AM »

The conditions for Iowa seem pretty easy, actually. It can be accomplished with a decent size team.
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Krago
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2016, 11:46:45 AM »

Whom did he list as his Vice-Presidential running mate?

(Who wants to bet me that the guy or gal doesn't have a Wikipedia page yet?)
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