PPP: Lincoln Chafee at 0 in New Hampshire
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  PPP: Lincoln Chafee at 0 in New Hampshire
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Author Topic: PPP: Lincoln Chafee at 0 in New Hampshire  (Read 3058 times)
IceSpear
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« on: April 10, 2015, 03:03:30 AM »

Not 0%. Literally 0.



LOL, Chafee has more support on the Atlas Forum than in the entire state of New Hampshire!
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BaconBacon96
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« Reply #1 on: April 10, 2015, 03:16:15 AM »

Chafmentum.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: April 10, 2015, 03:21:57 AM »


Indeed. Nowhere to go from here but up. He has Hillary right where he wants her.
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jfern
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« Reply #3 on: April 10, 2015, 03:37:38 AM »

1. He just announced out of nowhere
2. Sample size of 156
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2015, 03:39:47 AM »

1. He just announced out of nowhere
2. Sample size of 156

Yeah, good point. Maybe in a month we can get a #Chafeeover0 hashtag going?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2015, 03:39:58 AM »

Yeah, yeah. Just joke around now.

But once the small candidates start to rack up 5-10% each and Hilldog limps over the primary finish line with 35% or something, will you be still joking around ?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #6 on: April 10, 2015, 03:43:47 AM »

LOL, Chafee has more support on the Atlas Forum than in the entire state of New Hampshire!

Probably because he has several thousand % times higher name recognition on Atlas than he does among those 156 New Hampshirites.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #7 on: April 10, 2015, 03:47:42 AM »

Yeah, yeah. Just joke around now.

But once the small candidates start to rack up 5-10% each and Hilldog limps over the primary finish line with 35% or something, will you be still joking around ?

?

Even if Webb, Sanders, O'Malley, and Chafee all got 10%, that leaves Hillary with 60%. But I doubt that's gonna happen. One of them will emerge as the main alternative (probably Sanders) and likely poll in the 20s/30s, and the others will fizzle out and drop out before or right after Iowa. Chafee will likely be the first one to go. Even if Hillary didn't run his chances would be 0%.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: April 10, 2015, 08:01:25 AM »

Even Chafee fans on the forum acknowledge Chafee has a 0% chance.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #9 on: April 10, 2015, 08:59:24 AM »

1. He just announced out of nowhere
2. Sample size of 156

This. I'd give it a week or so before I roll out the #Linc0%nChafee hashtags.

Even Chafee fans on the forum acknowledge Chafee has a 0% chance.

Even as an ironic supporter of Chafee, this is definitely true.
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CELTICEMPIRE
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« Reply #10 on: April 10, 2015, 09:01:01 AM »

Didn't Chafee consider challenging Bush in the 2004 GOP primaries?
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #11 on: April 10, 2015, 09:02:04 AM »

Didn't Chafee consider challenging Bush in the 2004 GOP primaries?
Yep! I'm pretty sure that the capture of Saddam convinced him not to run.
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SWE
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« Reply #12 on: April 10, 2015, 09:08:51 AM »

Not 0%. Literally 0.



LOL, Chafee has more support on the Atlas Forum than in the entire state of New Hampshire!
Isn't his support on atlas still just something like 3 people?
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Oakvale
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« Reply #13 on: April 10, 2015, 10:52:56 AM »

I don't expect Chafee to win the nomination obviously but I could actually see him doing well in New Hampshire and opening the opportunity for a better dark horse candidate (O'Malley) to upset Hillary. Her favourability numbers are plummeting and she remains pretty unpopular, even among Democrats (grudging acceptance of pseudo-inevitability aside). I live in hope.

Either way, huge FF for daring to challenge the coronation.
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shua
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« Reply #14 on: April 10, 2015, 11:25:21 AM »

That is the results for a single night. PPP at least has the professionalism to know that 156 people isn't a real poll, right?
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Torie
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« Reply #15 on: April 10, 2015, 11:39:09 AM »

How much of the Chafee dynasty family fortune is left to finance this little quixotic quest?
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #16 on: April 10, 2015, 11:39:20 AM »

I don't expect Chafee to win the nomination obviously but I could actually see him doing well in New Hampshire and opening the opportunity for a better dark horse candidate (O'Malley) to upset Hillary. Her favourability numbers are plummeting and she remains pretty unpopular, even among Democrats (grudging acceptance of pseudo-inevitability aside). I live in hope.

Either way, huge FF for daring to challenge the coronation.

An 81% favorable rating is unpopular?
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #17 on: April 10, 2015, 01:11:17 PM »
« Edited: April 10, 2015, 01:13:25 PM by TheDeadFlagBlues »

I don't expect Chafee to win the nomination obviously but I could actually see him doing well in New Hampshire and opening the opportunity for a better dark horse candidate (O'Malley) to upset Hillary. Her favourability numbers are plummeting and she remains pretty unpopular, even among Democrats (grudging acceptance of pseudo-inevitability aside). I live in hope.

Either way, huge FF for daring to challenge the coronation.

I agree with this. It's not a coincidence that olds support Hillary at lower rates than youngs: olds actually watch cable news networks that cover the Democratic Primary. Presumably, youngs will oppose Hillary once they start paying attention.

Democrats love competitive primaries. I suspect that people who are fond of Hillary will still consider backing O'Malley or Webb. Hillary supporters only support a coronation on the Atlas...
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King
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« Reply #18 on: April 10, 2015, 01:15:21 PM »
« Edited: April 10, 2015, 01:18:53 PM by Monarch »

I don't expect Chafee to win the nomination obviously but I could actually see him doing well in New Hampshire and opening the opportunity for a better dark horse candidate (O'Malley) to upset Hillary. Her favourability numbers are plummeting and she remains pretty unpopular, even among Democrats (grudging acceptance of pseudo-inevitability aside).

This assumes that Hillary will just be a sitting duck who won't do anything for the next 9 months (like she is right now). It's quite possible her numbers will go up from this point as the campaign she launches on Sunday begins to generate positive buzz about her again and neutralize criticisms immediately.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: April 10, 2015, 02:41:49 PM »

I don't expect Chafee to win the nomination obviously but I could actually see him doing well in New Hampshire and opening the opportunity for a better dark horse candidate (O'Malley) to upset Hillary. Her favourability numbers are plummeting and she remains pretty unpopular, even among Democrats (grudging acceptance of pseudo-inevitability aside). I live in hope.

Either way, huge FF for daring to challenge the coronation.

I agree with this. It's not a coincidence that olds support Hillary at lower rates than youngs: olds actually watch cable news networks that cover the Democratic Primary. Presumably, youngs will oppose Hillary once they start paying attention.

Democrats love competitive primaries. I suspect that people who are fond of Hillary will still consider backing O'Malley or Webb. Hillary supporters only support a coronation on the Atlas...

She tends to get 80-90% favorability among Democrats. That's a very strange definition of "unpopular." And the "they're only supporting her because she seems inevitable" argument also doesn't work, because a recent poll showed that 84% of Hillary supporters were enthusiastic for her.
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #20 on: April 10, 2015, 03:53:13 PM »

Not 0%. Literally 0.



LOL, Chafee has more support on the Atlas Forum than in the entire state of New Hampshire!
Isn't his support on atlas still just something like 3 people?

I know WalterMitty was happy. I think there might be 2-3 more (or at least that's how many people seemed to welcome him in the thread about him announcing his exploratory committee). My "support" doesn't really count; I'd still vote for Sanders over Chafee.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #21 on: April 10, 2015, 04:51:16 PM »

I think Chafee has a good chance to consolidate support- it's only 2015.
This is hysterical.
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jfern
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« Reply #22 on: April 10, 2015, 06:22:16 PM »


If it was 1, 1/156 does round to 1%.
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #23 on: April 10, 2015, 11:13:30 PM »

Always go for the underdogs! CHUCK HAGEL 2016! He will crush Hillary in the primez!
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diskymike44
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« Reply #24 on: April 10, 2015, 11:42:03 PM »

Forget Clinton 2016! It's all about Chafee 2016! Now Wink
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