What percentage will Hillary get of the white vote?

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Go

[Indy Texas]

41%

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

38%.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

She won't be the nominee.

[IceSpear]

42%

[RosettaStoned]

She won't be the nominee.

  How so? There is no Obama figure this time around.

[JonathanSwift]

She won't be the nominee.

  How so? There is no Obama figure this time around.

One word: Chafee.

[Bull Moose Base]

45

[Nyvin]

43%

[Suburbia]

47%.

[Türkisblau]

[insert random percentage I pulled out of my ass here]

[Ebsy]

Definitely less than Bill's 44%.

[Sumner 1868]

[insert random percentage I pulled out of my ass here]

[Bull Moose Base]

Definitely less than Bill's 44%.

Bill got high 40s of the D/R sum.

[ElectionsGuy]

38-44%

[CountryClassSF]

More than the incumbent race baiter in chief did.

[Adam Griffin]

41%

[Thunderbird is the word]

Higher then Obama, lower then her husband.

[andrew_c]

42%

[Likely Voter]

I would guess somewhere between 41 and 42%. She will do about the same or maybe a little worse that Obama 2012 with white men, but more than make up for that with gains with white women (especially college ww).


Bear in mind that if Hillary gets 42% or more, she is essentially guaranteed a PV win. If she gets 41% then the GOP can win, but they would need to get Bush 2004 numbers with non-whites. She can win with as little as 37% of whites if she manages to match Obama's 2012 numbers with non-whites.

[Sir Mohamed]

44 or 45%. The Clintons are more popular among whites than Obama.

[Sir Mohamed]

IDK, but she will do better than Nixon or Reagan overall, so probably 51% or so.

You mean the white vote or total? 51% of whites whould mean at least 54% of the total popular vote- a margin that no candidate after Reagan's landslide reelection in 1984 has outperformed.

[Sir Mohamed]

IDK, but she will do better than Nixon or Reagan overall, so probably 51% or so.

You mean the white vote or total? 51% of whites whould mean at least 54% of the total popular vote- a margin that no candidate after Reagan's landslide reelection in 1984 has outperformed.

Just joking Atlas Democrats, ABC and CNN told me that her margin would be bigger than Reagan's in 1984. Which is very.... uh... implausible.

Yes, I think the times of the big landslides like 1932, 1936, 1956, 1964, 1972 or 1984 are over; at least for the next decades.

[Jacobtm]

Top White Vote Getters among Democrats:

1. Carter (1976) - 48%
2. Clinton (1996) - 44
3. Obama (2008) - 43
4. Gore - 42
5. Kerry - 41
6. Dukakis - 40
7. Clinton(1992) – 39
7. Obama (2012) – 39
9. Carter (1980) – 36
10. Mondale – 34

I would guess she drops from Obama's 2012 share of 39% as Democrats continue to vilify white people.

[Bull Moose Base]

Bill Clinton got close to as many whites as his Republican opponents. And Hillary Clinton has unique appeal that he did not to a majority of white voters. People who think she'll only do as well as Obama with whites are hilarious.