Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy (user search)
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  Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy  (Read 7923 times)
Slander and/or Libel
Figs
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« on: April 13, 2015, 09:33:02 AM »
Clarifying what the polls are saying is a reasonably valuable thing to do, and was pretty low-hanging fruit in 2008 and 2012. But it's low hanging fruit because it's easy.

Has Nate Silver ever made actual hard predictions about the outcome of races? More than that, has he made predictions well in advance of the actual races? Has anybody gone back and run an analysis on this?
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