Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy (user search)
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  Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy (search mode)
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Author Topic: Nate Silver: 2016 is a tossup; most conventional wisdom analysis is flimsy  (Read 7900 times)
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jfern
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« on: April 12, 2015, 09:14:02 PM »

Nate, you Republican hack! How dare you suggest that the election will be "competitive"? Hillary is inevitable, get over it, right-wingers!

2000, was a Lean GOP, and young latinos and blacks made it close, in FL. All she needs is that same enthusiam from those to close the deal in CO, NV and Pa, NH.

Uh, no. 2000 was a pure Toss-up. George W. Bush almost blew it because he ran a god awful campaign and took FL for granted. Only a joke like Bush could have lost the election. McCain would have crushed Gore.

Bush had an epic lead at this point in 1999. He turned that lead into a 0.51 point loss.
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