New WI Marquette poll out on Thursday

[Tender Branson]

From the "gold standard" in WI:

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http://law.marquette.edu/current-students/issues-marquette-law-school-april-poll

[Tender Branson]

Interesting, I suspect a big announcement bounce for Hillary. Wouldn't be surprised if she leads Walker by 10 and the rest by 12-15 points in WI.

I'm pretty sure the poll was already done this week(end).

So, no announcement bounce for her ...

[RogueBeaver]

Last PPP poll had Walker taking an approval hit at home but still owning the primary.

[bobloblaw]

Interesting, I suspect a big announcement bounce for Hillary. Wouldn't be surprised if she leads Walker by 10 and the rest by 12-15 points in WI.

Well then shed have nearly that lead over the rest nationally. In the last few cycles, WI is about D+2. Take out 2008, and WI is more like D+1 or 1.5. So a lead of 12-15 in WI would mean she is leading by 10-13 nationally. I doubt a lame twitter announcement, an email blast and a video will deliver that level of bounce.

[Nyvin]

Interesting, I suspect a big announcement bounce for Hillary. Wouldn't be surprised if she leads Walker by 10 and the rest by 12-15 points in WI.

Well then shed have nearly that lead over the rest nationally. In the last few cycles, WI is about D+2. Take out 2008, and WI is more like D+1 or 1.5. So a lead of 12-15 in WI would mean she is leading by 10-13 nationally. I doubt a lame twitter announcement, an email blast and a video will deliver that level of bounce.

Obama won Wisconsin by 52.83% in 2012,  and nationally by 51.06%, a difference of 1.77%.    That would've been rounded up to D+2 by itself.   

2008 would've been rounded down to D+3 by itself (56.22-52.93=3.22%).

[Former Democrat]

When will the poll come out?

[Tender Branson]

When will the poll come out?

According to the link, in slightly less than 2 hours.

12.15pm Milwaukee time.

[Lief 🗽]

Marquette is the only poll you should pay attention to in Wisconsin. Throw every other poll in this state IMMEDIATELY into the trash.

[IceSpear]

Marquette is the only poll you should pay attention to in Wisconsin. Throw every other poll in this state IMMEDIATELY into the trash.

[CountryClassSF]

It's too early to poll LVs vs RVs, but I imagine it will be closer than that.  I do think the Democrats are favored there based on post-1992 polarization