NH-PPP: Tossup with Hassan, double-digit lead for Ayotte against Kuster

[JRP1994]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/04/hassan-ayotte-match-would-be-tightly-contested.html

Hassan: 46, Ayotte 45
Ayotte: 49, Kuster 38

[Brewer]

Come on, Maggie!

[RINO Tom]

I think it's more that Hassan is a great, great candidate for that race.  Even though Ayotte is an incumbent, I think it'd say way more about Hassan if she runs and wins than it would about Ayotte (just like I think Moore-Capito's landslide victory says a lot more about what a strong candidate she was than it does about the supposed death of WV Democrats).

Hassan would make a great Senator.  With that said, I hope she doesn't run and Ayotte is re-elected.  The more Republicans from the Northeast, Upper Midwest and West Coast, the better for the party going forward.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

They also polled a No-Ayotte scenario:

Hassan 54
Lamontage 35

Kuster 43
Lamontage 39

[Skye]

They also polled a No-Ayotte scenario:

Hassan 54
Lamontage 35

Kuster 43
Lamontage 39

Those numbers are interesting. They suggest that Ayotte has a big incumbency advantage but it may not be enough to save her.

Which is why she's always included in lists of vulnerable senators despite her big 2010 win.

[Ebsy]

Ayotte has made some questionable decisions over the past few years.

[Maxwell]

They also polled a No-Ayotte scenario:

Hassan 54
Lamontage 35

Kuster 43
Lamontage 39

Those numbers are interesting. They suggest that Ayotte has a big incumbency advantage but it may not be enough to save her.

Which is why she's always included in lists of vulnerable senators despite her big 2010 win.

It's really surprising that Ayotte even won by such a landslide in 2010, especially considering the political nature of NH.

The political nature of NH is exactly why she won by such a landslide in 2010. NH succumbs very easily to the waves. It's why +70 approval Governor Lynch almost lost and why Senator Jeanne Shaheen almost lost to SCOTT BROWN.

[IceSpear]

I hope the Dems are lobbying Hassan hard.

[Free Bird]

IndyRep, note Ayotte's crushing of Kuster with the same sample. That shows crossover appeal

[IceSpear]

It's interesting that Ayotte has a positive approval score among moderates, but a negative one overall. That's extremely rare for a Republican (though fairly common for a Democrat.)

Anyway, hopefully Loser Lamontagne runs for something, and continues to do so indefinitely. He's always a nice gift.

[free my dawg]

Can anyone from NH explain to me why Hassan is so popular? Don't know much about her, so...

She's continued the prosperity under Lynch and has been generally uncontroversial (which goes a long way here). In fact, most of the flack she gets is from the pro-marijuana crowd, and speaking as someone whose main issue is drug reform, I don't think it's that important. Maggie Hassan is the anti-Bill O'Brien: while he governed the state house by ideology and an iron fist, she's seen as a respectful pragmatist who genuinely cares about New Hampshire. That's why New Hampshire is in her corner.

[Holmes]

If Hassan jumps in, Ayotte is getting Sununu'd. And New Hampshire's senate delegation remains all-female.

[Maxwell]

lol. Ayotte is totally doomed because she trails the state's most popular politician by a significant margin by a small margin (within the margin of error, I may add). Hassan hasn't been subject to a serious opponent yet (Ovide Lamontagne doesn't count), and as much as I feel Ayotte is a useless neoconservative, Ayotte is a serious candidate. This will be a dogfight, and gun to my head, Ayotte wins by running ahead of Hilldawg.

[Xing]

Hassan entering the race wouldn't make this a guaranteed pick-up by a long shot, but it would turn a lean R race into a pure toss-up. Ayotte isn't to be underestimated, but she might not be able to survive a good Democratic year against a serious opponent.

[Maxwell]

Hassan entering the race wouldn't make this a guaranteed pick-up by a long shot, but it would turn a lean R race into a pure toss-up. Ayotte isn't to be underestimated, but she might not be able to survive a good Democratic year against a serious opponent.

I wouldn't say pure, but yes, I do think this is true.

[DrScholl]

Ayotte's 2010 victory is not indication of permanent invisibility. In a state that hasn't gone Republican in a presidential election since 2000, this is a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Ayotte's 2010 victory is not indication of permanent invisibility. In a state that hasn't gone Republican in a presidential election since 2000, this is a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats.

I don't think anyone ever claimed Ayotte had either permanent or temporary invisibility.

[Maxwell]

Ayotte's 2010 victory is not indication of permanent invisibility. In a state that hasn't gone Republican in a presidential election since 2000, this is a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats.

I don't think anyone ever claimed Ayotte had either permanent or temporary invisibility.

OH BUT SOME REPUBLICANS HAVE

Which ones?

... AYOTTE WILL LOSE BUDDY, BETTER PUCKER UP

That is all you will get.

[bobloblaw]

Ayotte will win even if Hillary carries NH by 10.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ayotte will win even if Hillary carries NH by 10.

Not against Hassan. Maybe against Kuster.

[Flake]

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by Public Policy Polling on 2015-04-13

Summary: D: 46%, R: 45%, I: 0%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[HAnnA MArin County]

Ayotte will win even if Hillary carries NH by 10.

Lol