WI-Marquette: Feingold (D) with dominant lead against Sen. Johnson (R)
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  WI-Marquette: Feingold (D) with dominant lead against Sen. Johnson (R)
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Feingold (D) with dominant lead against Sen. Johnson (R)  (Read 6909 times)
Brittain33
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« Reply #25 on: April 17, 2015, 10:07:49 AM »

Massive outlier - I'm skeptical. Need more corroborating evidence. But certainly looks good for Feingold at this point.

Ron Johnson's election in 2010 is looking like a massive outlier at this point.
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Nhoj
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« Reply #26 on: April 17, 2015, 10:12:58 AM »

Massive outlier - I'm skeptical. Need more corroborating evidence. But certainly looks good for Feingold at this point.

Ron Johnson's election in 2010 is looking like a massive outlier at this point.
Its more of a electorate thing. feingold wouldn't have lost in 2012 but would have in 2014.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #27 on: April 17, 2015, 03:31:47 PM »

It's a nice lead, but you never know what might happen.  I'm putting this at tilt D. 

That sounds correct.
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Xing
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« Reply #28 on: April 17, 2015, 06:35:57 PM »
« Edited: April 18, 2015, 11:17:42 AM by xingkerui »

I definitely don't buy that Feingold is ahead by that much, but Johnson is definitely one of the most vulnerable incumbents.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #29 on: April 22, 2015, 07:44:13 AM »

Yeah, he will not win by this much. But it sure makes Johnson look like the Pryor/Landrieu of the cycle.

Johnson has to be thinking of this right now.



It would be pretty funny if Johnson ended up getting Blanched, since if anyone was expected to be Blanched it was Kirk.

Blanche Lincoln had plenty of company in 2010.
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #30 on: April 23, 2015, 04:12:34 PM »

#ReadyforRuss
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Anti Democrat Democrat Club
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« Reply #31 on: April 23, 2015, 05:49:33 PM »

1. Yeah, but it's certainly not the swing state that it was in 2000 or 2004 any more.
2. Agreed.
3. If a Romney-type Republican was a great fit for NH, why would Romney lose the state so badly? Tongue (he did worse in NH than in PA).
4. Sounds plausible.

*Of course. We aren't denying it's trending D.

*I'd imagine his flip-flopping and his other comments didn't help.
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LeBron
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« Reply #32 on: April 24, 2015, 01:08:45 AM »

I could see myself getting behind Feingold. He definitely starts out with the advantage, and thankfully Johnson isn't self-funding his campaign like he was last time. On top of that, Feingold as far as I know is willing to accept outside money now. If he can define Johnson, then well....RIP Johnson.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #33 on: May 05, 2015, 02:42:17 PM »

Wow, this is beginning to look like a "Likely Democratic" race. Johnson is more vulnerable than Mark Kirk.
At this point, Democrats will almost certainly pick up WI, IL and NH. The path for the GOP to keep its Senate majority is getting narrower and narrower...
If 2016 is a strong R year, Kirk, Johnson, and Ayotte will probably hold on, as will most other Republicans.

Anyway, has Feingold even announced whether he's running?  I'd like to see some polls of other possible candidates.  And Hassan hasn't announced in NH.

As for Illinois, Duckworth's got a scandal brewing, and the Dems could be in for a divisive primary if more candidates get in.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #34 on: May 05, 2015, 02:45:28 PM »
« Edited: May 05, 2015, 02:49:03 PM by Governor Gass3268 »

Wow, this is beginning to look like a "Likely Democratic" race. Johnson is more vulnerable than Mark Kirk.
At this point, Democrats will almost certainly pick up WI, IL and NH. The path for the GOP to keep its Senate majority is getting narrower and narrower...
If 2016 is a strong R year, Kirk, Johnson, and Ayotte will probably hold on, as will most other Republicans.

Anyway, has Feingold even announced whether he's running?  I'd like to see some polls of other possible candidates.  And Hassan hasn't announced in NH.

As for Illinois, Duckworth's got a scandal brewing, and the Dems could be in for a divisive primary if more candidates get in.

What?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #35 on: May 05, 2015, 02:47:55 PM »
« Edited: May 05, 2015, 02:54:24 PM by Ebsy »

Tax form scandals are the least sexy sort of scandal.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #36 on: May 05, 2015, 02:53:58 PM »

Wisconsin is well on track to send two of the most liberal Democrats to the Senate like they belong!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #37 on: May 05, 2015, 02:55:57 PM »

Wow, this is beginning to look like a "Likely Democratic" race. Johnson is more vulnerable than Mark Kirk.
At this point, Democrats will almost certainly pick up WI, IL and NH. The path for the GOP to keep its Senate majority is getting narrower and narrower...
If 2016 is a strong R year, Kirk, Johnson, and Ayotte will probably hold on, as will most other Republicans.

Anyway, has Feingold even announced whether he's running?  I'd like to see some polls of other possible candidates.  And Hassan hasn't announced in NH.

As for Illinois, Duckworth's got a scandal brewing, and the Dems could be in for a divisive primary if more candidates get in.

We run strong in Pa; IL& FL; and OH. With or without Feingold.

Duckworth will survive this, and must.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #38 on: May 05, 2015, 03:11:01 PM »

Arizona isn't looking so great for Republicans, either.
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Ogre Mage
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« Reply #39 on: May 05, 2015, 09:02:52 PM »

Wisconsin is well on track to send two of the most liberal Democrats to the Senate like they belong!

Having Baldwin and Feingold as the two senators from WI would be beautiful (and make up for the horribleness of the Senate situation in Iowa, another swing state).
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badgate
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« Reply #40 on: May 06, 2015, 12:36:41 AM »

With numbers this bad, I've got to wonder if Johnson isn't considering bowing out.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #41 on: May 06, 2015, 12:59:21 AM »

With numbers this bad, I've got to wonder if Johnson isn't considering bowing out.

Unlikely, but if he does, the question is who to run in his place. Tommy Thompson isn't going to try again after his 2012 embarrassment, Walker is running for President, Glenn Grothman (WI-6) isn't going to leave the house after just 1 term, Paul Ryan (WI-1) probably wants to stay in the house.

Republicans would be left with a choice between Fmr. Rep. Tom Petri (WI-6), Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner (WI-5), Rep. Sean Duffy (WI-7) and Rep. Reid Ribble (WI-8). WI experts, which of these would be most likely to get the nomination in the event of a Johnson retirement, and would they have a better chance of beating Feingold than Johnson does?
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publicunofficial
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« Reply #42 on: May 06, 2015, 07:01:28 PM »

With numbers this bad, I've got to wonder if Johnson isn't considering bowing out.

Unlikely, but if he does, the question is who to run in his place. Tommy Thompson isn't going to try again after his 2012 embarrassment, Walker is running for President, Glenn Grothman (WI-6) isn't going to leave the house after just 1 term, Paul Ryan (WI-1) probably wants to stay in the house.

Republicans would be left with a choice between Fmr. Rep. Tom Petri (WI-6), Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner (WI-5), Rep. Sean Duffy (WI-7) and Rep. Reid Ribble (WI-8). WI experts, which of these would be most likely to get the nomination in the event of a Johnson retirement, and would they have a better chance of beating Feingold than Johnson does?

There is no way in hell Tom Petri or Jim Sensenbrenner run for Senate.
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Flake
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« Reply #43 on: May 10, 2015, 11:23:22 AM »

New Poll: Wisconsin Senator by Marquette Law School on 2015-04-10

Summary: D: 54%, R: 38%, I: 3%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Ebsy
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« Reply #44 on: May 11, 2015, 01:52:01 PM »

RIP Ron Johnson.
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The Dowager Mod
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« Reply #45 on: May 22, 2015, 11:58:04 AM »

Buyers remorse. LOL Cheesy
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