WI-Marquette: Feingold (D) with dominant lead against Sen. Johnson (R) (user search)
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  WI-Marquette: Feingold (D) with dominant lead against Sen. Johnson (R) (search mode)
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Author Topic: WI-Marquette: Feingold (D) with dominant lead against Sen. Johnson (R)  (Read 7056 times)
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: April 16, 2015, 12:47:07 PM »

Wow, this is beginning to look like a "Likely Democratic" race. Johnson is more vulnerable than Mark Kirk.
At this point, Democrats will almost certainly pick up WI, IL and NH. The path for the GOP to keep its Senate majority is getting narrower and narrower...
As for NH, since when does a 1 point lead for a candidate that might not even run mean an almost certain pickup?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2015, 12:47:32 PM »

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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2015, 01:38:57 PM »

You know who also had a dominant lead over a vulnerable Republican? Charlie Crist.

Don't respond to this with a page long post about how the two aren't exactly similar. Believe me I know. I just liked drawing the comparison.
Crist never lead by 16 though.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #3 on: May 06, 2015, 12:59:21 AM »

With numbers this bad, I've got to wonder if Johnson isn't considering bowing out.

Unlikely, but if he does, the question is who to run in his place. Tommy Thompson isn't going to try again after his 2012 embarrassment, Walker is running for President, Glenn Grothman (WI-6) isn't going to leave the house after just 1 term, Paul Ryan (WI-1) probably wants to stay in the house.

Republicans would be left with a choice between Fmr. Rep. Tom Petri (WI-6), Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner (WI-5), Rep. Sean Duffy (WI-7) and Rep. Reid Ribble (WI-8). WI experts, which of these would be most likely to get the nomination in the event of a Johnson retirement, and would they have a better chance of beating Feingold than Johnson does?
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