Gubernatorial approval, incumbent governors, Election 2014 - Election 2016
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  Gubernatorial approval, incumbent governors, Election 2014 - Election 2016
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #25 on: June 17, 2015, 06:50:29 PM »

Reported by the Times of Northwest Indiana: http://www.nwitimes.com/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/poll-finds-hoosiers-want-new-governor/article_0bbc71c8-e91d-5838-948b-2b72fab2e1f9.html

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Ugly. If this is true, then the 2008 election in Indiana may not be such a freakish event as it has seemed in the last three elections. Except for Kentucky, the neighboring states seem to have a long-term D drift. Indiana may be more rural than Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, or such somewhat-comparable states as Iowa and Wisconsin -- but a strong regional trend could pull Indiana away from being reliably R.

Unfo0rtunately this is a poll of favorability, so I can't score it. It's hard to see any incumbent having a good chance of winning re-election with a 34% favorability. 

The last time that Indiana went Democratic in an election that the Republicans won (sort of)  was in 1876.






A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
  
 * -- appointed Governor.


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pbrower2a
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« Reply #26 on: September 30, 2015, 06:33:16 PM »


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https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2015/09/30/marquette-law-school-poll-finds-walker-job-approval-at-37-percent-following-presidential-run/






A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
  
 * -- appointed Governor.



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pbrower2a
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« Reply #27 on: October 26, 2015, 12:11:15 AM »

Kansas, Sam Brownback by Fort Hays State University. The language looks close enough in meaning to approval (satisfaction):

5% very satisfied
13% somewhat satisfied
13% neutral
21% somewhat dissatisfied
48% very dissatisfied

https://www.fhsu.edu/uploadedFiles/executive/docking/Kansas%20Speaks%20Report%202015%20.pdf

Awful!

For a contrast, here's how Barack Obama is seen in Kansas, same poll:

11% very satisfied
17% somewhat satisfied
8% neutral
15% somewhat dissatisfied
48% very dissatisfied






A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
  
 * -- appointed Governor.



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pbrower2a
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« Reply #28 on: November 11, 2015, 07:43:12 PM »
« Edited: November 11, 2015, 08:11:14 PM by pbrower2a »

Quinnipiac, New Jersey: Christie (a Republican)

Approve 39%, disapprove 55%

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2301

PPP, Iowa, Terry Branstad (R)

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I doubt that he will be a Veep candidate.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2015/11/general-election-matches-close-in-iowa.html

PPP, Pat McCrory, (R-NC)

36% approve, 49% approve.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_102915.pdf

Governors of Kentucky and Louisiana are whited out as lame ducks.




A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
  
 * -- appointed Governor.




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snowguy716
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« Reply #29 on: November 11, 2015, 10:17:14 PM »

I don't know why you put the MN data on there and then took it off again...

Dayton's approval, as far as I can tell, remains 54%
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #30 on: November 18, 2015, 02:39:49 PM »

I don't know why you put the MN data on there and then took it off again...

Dayton's approval, as far as I can tell, remains 54%

I don't know why Governor Dayton's approval number disappeared, either. That sounds right. Correction made here:



A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
 
 * -- appointed Governor.





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pbrower2a
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« Reply #31 on: December 15, 2015, 07:53:13 PM »


Approve: 63
Disapprove: 24

Quote
While Hogan's popularity rests on steadfast support from fellow Republicans — 90 percent approve of the job he's done —– and voters in the state's rural areas, a majority of Democrats and urban dwellers also approve of Hogan.

http://www.baltimoresun.com/news/maryland/politics/bs-md-poll-hogan-20151127-story.html



A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
 
 * -- appointed Governor.





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pbrower2a
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« Reply #32 on: December 19, 2015, 05:54:22 PM »

Iowa, PPP. Governor Branstad -- his approval is at an execrable 37%.



A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
 
 * -- appointed Governor.






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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #33 on: December 20, 2015, 10:21:28 AM »

Rauner, Walker & Brandstad approvals are torrid and important for Dems chance 2016-2018.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #34 on: December 21, 2015, 03:42:28 PM »

Rauner, Walker & Brandstad approvals are torrid and important for Dems chance 2016-2018.

I think that you mean "horrid". 

See also Scott in Florida. Florida is the biggest of all swing states.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #35 on: December 21, 2015, 07:07:48 PM »

Clinton doesnt need FL. CO, NV & Pa. Murphy can withstand R bent of state.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #36 on: February 25, 2016, 04:17:55 PM »

Wisconsin, Marquettte University Law School

Approval of how Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is handling his job stands at 39 percent, with 55 percent disapproving. In January, 38 percent approved and 57 percent disapproved.

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll

Still awful.

Iowa, PPP. Governor Branstad -- his approval is at an execrable 37%.



A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
 
 * -- appointed Governor.






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pbrower2a
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« Reply #37 on: March 08, 2016, 08:53:55 AM »

Pete Shumlin, D-VT. Not doing well.

http://digital.vpr.net/post/vpr-poll-races-issues-and-full-results#stream/0



A positive approval rating under 45% is treated as a tie.

blue -- Republican incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

green --  Republican incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%


red --Democratic incumbent with positive or neutral approval
20% --  tie (less than 1%) or positive approval under 45%
40% --  approval 45 - 49%
50%  -- approval 50 - 54%
60%  -- approval 55 - 59%
80% -- approval over 60%

orange --  Democratic incumbent with negative approval

20% --  approval 45 - 49%
40%  -- approval 40 - 44%
50%  -- approval 35 - 39%
80% --  approval under 35%

No governor, governor in transition,  or non-partisan governor -- white.

Positive approval under 45% -- (now treated as if a tie).

The newest poll takes precedence, but no internal polls or polls commissioned by a partisan entity, trade group, or union.
 
 * -- appointed Governor.







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