NV-04: Lucy Flores running (user search)
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  NV-04: Lucy Flores running (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-04: Lucy Flores running  (Read 1995 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,719
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« on: April 22, 2015, 02:50:35 PM »
If she's the nominee, Hardy would start as the favorite. Any sane democrat should be voting for the other announced candidate in the primary, State Sen. Ruben J. Kihuen, who wouldn't be a lock in the GE by any means but is definitely better than Flores.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,719
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2015, 05:24:19 PM »
« Edited: April 22, 2015, 05:34:13 PM by Wulfric »
Quote from: IceSpear on April 22, 2015, 04:10:27 PM
Dems don't exactly need a top tier challenger to beat Hardy. Obama won the district by double digits and most people in the district probably don't even know who he is since turnout was so low. DOA.
It's worth noting that in 2012, the NV-4 House margin was 2.5% lower than the NV-4 presidential margin. Give a few extra points to Hardy for incumbency and Flores natural weakness, and you can easily see him holding on as long the presidential ticket keeps Hilary's NV-4 margin to 6, 7 points.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,719
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2015, 06:28:11 PM »
Quote from: publicunofficial on April 22, 2015, 06:12:53 PM
Why is Flores "naturally weak"? It wasn't her fault Nevada had an R wave.
She barely cracked 40% last year, some of the other row office candidates got around 45%.
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