HYPO: Johnson vs Feingold in 2014

[ElectionsGuy]

Lets say Johnson's senate seat was up in 2014. Republicans won everything in Wisconsin in 2014 except for the Secretary of State. Does Feingold pull it off?

I have to say Johnson wins by a tiny amount, around 50-48 or so.

[free my dawg]

Johnson by 3 or 4.

[Maxwell]

Johnson by 3 or 4.

[Nyvin]

I doubt a Democrat challenger against an incumbent could do very well in any state in 2014.

[Talleyrand]

Virtually the same result as 2010 I'd guess. Plus or minus a point in either direction.

[badgate]

Johnson would win but run two or maybe even three points below Walker.

However if this was happening as a rematch in 2014, that would mean the original match up was in 2008. So if Feingold was the incumbent (obviously he'd be reelected in '08), he'd win by less than 2 points.

[TDAS04]

2014?  Johnson by a few points.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

It would have basically just been the same thing as 2010, just like Walker's race was basically the same.

[Mr. Illini]

Johnson by a couple

[IceSpear]

Johnson by 3 or 4.

[Xing]

Johnson would've done slightly worse in 2014, but he'd still narrowly win.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

It would have basically just been the same thing as 2010, just like Walker's race was basically the same.

except in 2010 johnson did only about a point worse than walker, and by 2014 he was polling nine points worse. i think feingold could have pulled it off.

[sg0508]

In '14, Johnson likely keeps his seat due to the GOP wave and the lower turnout.  Put them up against each other in two years, with higher turnout and where the Democratic nominee likely carries WI by 5-8 points, and I think Feingold gets his old seat back.