NY with 26 CDs in 2020

[cinyc]

Returning to the Exurb: Rural Counties Are Fastest Growing

According to an analysis by the Brookings Institute via Pew, exurban counties are fastest growing again, reversing the trend set after the Great Recession.  People are moving to the far-flung exurbs at the expense of urban areas.  While this wasn't true of the New York City area in my analysis, it appears to be true elsewhere.

[cinyc]

Which is why a functional test is whether the protected group can choose their candidate of choice in the Democratic primary.  If the group you are protecting is Hispanic or Asian, then not only do you have to keep their CVAP high, you need to keep that of the BCVAP as low as possible.

And how is that supposed to work, exactly, when some voters are both black and Hispanic?  That is probably most salient in Charlie Rangel's current district, which has many black Hispanics from the Dominican Republic (though some might not be citizens).

[cinyc]

Which is why a functional test is whether the protected group can choose their candidate of choice in the Democratic primary.  If the group you are protecting is Hispanic or Asian, then not only do you have to keep their CVAP high, you need to keep that of the BCVAP as low as possible.

And how is that supposed to work, exactly, when some voters are both black and Hispanic?  That is probably most salient in Charlie Rangel's current district, which has many black Hispanics from the Dominican Republic (though some might not be citizens).

NHBCVAP and HCVAP

Is it clear under the VRA that you have to use NHBCVAP, i.e. that being Hispanic somehow trumps being black? And what if non-Hispanic blacks live in the same neighborhoods as Hispanic blacks and it's otherwise difficult to get to 50%?