I see the GOP being the dominant Party in the US for decades to come (user search)
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  I see the GOP being the dominant Party in the US for decades to come (search mode)
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Author Topic: I see the GOP being the dominant Party in the US for decades to come  (Read 5051 times)
Adam Griffin
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Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« on: April 25, 2015, 08:04:42 PM »

Democrat Party's strategic obsession with racial demagoguery  and 'demographics' have caused a white exodus from the party.  They've been able to stem this enough to cobble together a coalition in presidential years by using the homosexual issue and making things up about the GOP about birth control, et al.

I do think that many Democrats do tend to be  overconfident - the midterm losses they suffered in the Obama years were nothing short of historic.  I think it was something like 900 state legislative seats. The difference is this time, the party has hopefully learned that we have a conservative for a candidate to bring a coalition of our own to the polls. Someone who is actually there to fight hard and win as opposed to a hard-left candidate like Romney or McCain.

I'll give you your second paragraph if you own up to and admit that Republicans can only win in a "historic" fashion anymore when hardly anyone shows up to vote.
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Adam Griffin
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,088
Greece


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: April 25, 2015, 09:11:31 PM »

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See though? A Republican win always has to have an asterisk behind it.  It can never be acknowledged that maybe the Democrats lost the argument for that cycle.  

...You don't think it deserves an asterisk? You guys only win when an electorate shows up to vote that completely doesn't resemble the actual country.

The pendulum swings both ways.  While the GOP may be gaining ground now, the pendulum will swing back to the Democrats.  It is certainly possible, if not likely, that we will have a Republican president in 2017, after a Republican has been in there for 4-8 years we'll see the pendulum start swinging back around the 6th year midterms, if not the 2nd year midterms.  In the last 40 years we have only had the pendulum stay on one side of the aisle longer than 8 years one time and that was 1981-1993 when Reagan and Bush were in office.  That's another part of the healthy checks and balances this country enjoys.  I reject the sentiment that the Democrats will be dominant for decades to come, but I also reject the sentiment that the Republicans will be dominant for decades to come.  Either party will only be riding high for at most one decade at a time and that's pushing it.
The difference is that whites have permanently fled the Democratic Party

>"have permanently fled"
>gets 40% of their votes

Let's put it this way: between 2004-2012, Democrats' share of the white vote went from 41% to 39%. With 94,000,000 white voters in 2012, Democrats have lost 1,872,000 white voters over the past eight years.

Over that same time period, Republicans' share of the Latino vote went from 42% to 22%. With 13,000,000 Latino voters in 2012, Republicans have lost 2,600,000 Latino voters over the past eight years. They've also lost 620,000 Asian voters over the same time period.

So:

Democrats: -1,872,000 whites
Republicans: -3,220,000 non-whites


Who's fleeing from where? Thanks for your concerns, though.
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