Should the Republicans contest ME-02?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 09:49:57 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Should the Republicans contest ME-02?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Should the Republican candidate contest ME-02?
#1
Yes. 		 
#2
No. 		 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 42

Author Topic: Should the Republicans contest ME-02?  (Read 845 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 26, 2015, 03:15:14 PM »
Well... winning ME-02 + CO + IA + FL + OH would get them to 269 EV. No need for them to win VA, NH, NV or WI anymore because a tie would basically be a Republican win. If the Republican candidate spent much time and money there, he would stand a (small) chance of winning it and save Poliquin at the same time. I mean, it would be easier to pick up ME-02 than WI or NH, wouldn't it?
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,990
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2015, 03:22:05 PM »
They won't win ME-2 without NH.
Logged
Fuzzy Bear
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,721
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2015, 03:24:43 PM »
Of course they should.  It's a chance for an EV.  They need to defend NE-2 as well.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2015, 03:29:57 PM »
They can definitely try to win ME-02, but it will probably be as much of a fluke as Obama's NE-02 win in 2008.
Logged
AelroseB
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 279


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2015, 03:39:15 PM »
It's strategically advisable that they contest New Hampshire first.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,679
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2015, 05:22:24 PM »
Probably not worth it.  If ME-02 (or NE-02 for that matter) ever provides EV #270, the opposition party will almost certainly take full control of ME or NE after the midterm and switch allocation back to statewide.  There would be no long term benefits to either party with more winnable swing states out there.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2015, 05:51:04 PM »
Didn't Kerry win it by 5 points in 2004 ?

If John Freaking Kerry won it, Republicans have no chance of winning in it a reasonably close election. It would have to be a 1988 or 2008 landslide to do so. Kind of like NC for the Dems.
Logged
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,745
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2015, 06:00:28 PM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on April 26, 2015, 05:22:24 PM
Probably not worth it.  If ME-02 (or NE-02 for that matter) ever provides EV #270, the opposition party will almost certainly take full control of ME or NE after the midterm and switch allocation back to statewide.  There would be no long term benefits to either party with more winnable swing states out there.

They tried that in Nebraska and it failed earlier this year. http://www.omaha.com/news/legislature/winner-take-all-electoral-vote-bill-fails-again-in-nebraska/article_cbf16214-ccc3-11e4-8a03-8bc57b862824.html
Logged
Cryptic
Shadowlord88
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 891


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -6.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2015, 06:10:31 PM »
« Edited: April 26, 2015, 06:12:02 PM by Cryptic »
They'd won't win ME-02 without winning VA, NH, NV, and WI first.  It would only happen in a Republican landslide, not a close election.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,538
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2015, 09:30:50 PM »
If Republicans win that electoral vote, they will already have won.
Logged
Mister Mets
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,440
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2015, 09:36:58 PM »
It's nice if they win it, but it is one vote.

New Hampshire has roughly twice the population, and four times the electoral votes. So the effort is better spent there.
Logged
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,659
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 26, 2015, 11:13:21 PM »
Quote from: Mister Mets on April 26, 2015, 09:36:58 PM
It's nice if they win it, but it is one vote.

New Hampshire has roughly twice the population, and four times the electoral votes. So the effort is better spent there.

Not to mention ME-2 is rural as all hell and would be very expensive to campaign in.   
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 26, 2015, 11:13:57 PM »
Sure, why not? If it looks bad they can always pull out later, similar to Hillary with her red state targets such as IN/MO, etc.
Logged
Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,065
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 26, 2015, 11:17:39 PM »
It'll at least be a way to distract Democratic resources even if they can't win.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.035 seconds with 14 queries.