Peruvian presidential election (2nd round) – June 5, 2016

[jaichind]

GKF poll has Fujimori ahead 50.3 to 49.7.   Virtual tie

[Vega]

GKF poll has Fujimori ahead 50.3 to 49.7.   Virtual tie

Seems to be an outlier.

[jaichind]

GKF poll has Fujimori ahead 50.3 to 49.7.   Virtual tie

Seems to be an outlier.

Perhaps.  But CPI poll also has Fujimori lead shrinking.  It seems Mendoza endorsement of PPK plus that scandal involving a top aide is catch up to her.  I reckon she still have the advantage and should win but perhaps not by the margin people thought a week ago after her strong debate performance. 

[Velasco]

The Governor of Cajamarca Porfirio Medina called to vote for PPK, while his predecessor Gregorio Santos stated on Wednesday that he won't vote for PPK or Keiko. On the other hand, the spokeswoman of the EU electoral mission Renate Weber called Peruvians to not wasting their votes, because it's very important to decide about the future of the country. Also, she stated that black money coming from drug trafficking must not enter in politics.

[jaichind]

I just read this which explained to some extent how the Peru congressional seat allocation worked and now Fujimori's Fuerza Popular won a majority with a fairly small vote share.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/06/03/fujimoris-party-already-controls-perus-congress-heres-why-observers-are-worried/

[jaichind]

Final Datum poll has Fujimori ahead 52.1 vs 47.9

[jaichind]

Final Ipsos poll bad PPK ahead  50.4 to 49.6.

[Vega]

Final Ipsos poll bad PPK ahead  50.4 to 49.6.

I'm going to hope that is the outlier.

[ag]

Final Ipsos poll bad PPK ahead  50.4 to 49.6.

I'm going to hope that is the outlier.

Praying it is, actually, true.

[FredLindq]

If elected, could PPK work with a Fujimorista majority in the congress?! And can congress make It hard for PPK?

[Vega]

If elected, could PPK work with a Fujimorista majority in the congress?! And can congress make It hard for PPK?

He really doesn't have any other choice, and yes, they certainly can. Peru's President is a little stronger than Congress, so there is that.

I imagine he'll throw his weight behind a pardon for Alberto Fujimori, and possibly go farther in that way then Keiko can given her relation.

But he, as someone who is on the right wing, will have a more easy go of things with his policies. It certainly won't be a model relationship though.

[mgop]

Final Ipsos poll bad PPK ahead  50.4 to 49.6.

ipsos is famous for terrible polls

[seb_pard]

Final Ipsos poll bad PPK ahead  50.4 to 49.6.

I'm going to hope that is the outlier.

Praying it is, actually, true.

[Vega]

Final Ipsos poll bad PPK ahead  50.4 to 49.6.

ipsos is famous for terrible polls

They're a little stretched thin, considering they poll just about every country in the world.

[jaichind]

FUJIMORI, KUCZYNSKI STATISTICALLY TIED IN PERU VOTE: EXIT POLL

not surprising

[jaichind]

Ispos exit poll  PPK 50.4 - 49.6

GFK exit poll PPK 51.2 - 48.8

[ag]

FUJIMORI, KUCZYNSKI STATISTICALLY TIED IN PERU VOTE: EXIT POLL

not surprising

GFK exits: PPK 51.2%, Fujimori 48.8%!

Praying it holds.

[ag]

CPI exits favor Fujimori

Fujimori 51.1%
PPK 48.9%

Long night.

[Vega]

Usual question about which website to check?

[ag]

Usual question about which website to check?

ONPE will have the oficial results at some point, but nothing, yet.

[ag]

First results (around 30% of the total) should be in around 9 PM Peru time (same as Central Time in the US).

[Vega]

Usual question about which website to check?

ONPE will have the oficial results at some point, but nothing, yet.

I just found this:

http://peru21.pe/resultados-elecciones-2016

which will be updated with the actual results.

[Dereich]

According to this results will start coming in after 10:00 PM EST.

[ag]

According to this results will start coming in after 10:00 PM EST.

Yep, this is what ONPE is promising. 2 comments ago I have pointed this out

[Vega]

From what I've read, apparently the quick count is expected out within the hour.