Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
Posts: 88,755
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17
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« on: April 29, 2015, 11:47:14 AM » |
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...At this point I see no significant difference between the dynamics of recent Presidential elections of recent years and 2016. How the states lined up in 2012:
186 NM 191
191 MI 207
207 MN 217
217 WI 227
227 IA 233
233 IA 239
239 NH 243
243 PA 263
263 CO 272
Those are states with margins under 11%.
There's a dodgy poll from Missouri, but even that is consistent with Missouri in 2012. PPP will poll Arizona this weekend, which will show whether Arizona has more in common politically with New Mexico than with Texas.
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Likely where the race is at now 257-263 Hilary 206 Jeb
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