pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 26,839
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« on: April 29, 2015, 07:38:45 AM » |
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« edited: April 29, 2015, 01:06:11 PM by pbrower2a »
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Say what you want, but the recorded voice is the right way to do the poll.
...At this point I see no significant difference between the dynamics of recent Presidential elections of recent years and 2016. How the states lined up in 2012:
186 NM 191
191 MI 207
207 MN 217
217 WI 227
227 NV 233
233 IA 239
239 NH 243
243 PA 263
263 CO 272
272 VA 285
285 OH 303
303 FL 332
332 NC 347
347 GA 363
363 AZ 374
374 MO 384
384 IN 395
395 SC 404
Those are states with margins under 11%.
There's a dodgy poll from Missouri, but even that is consistent with Missouri in 2012. PPP will poll Arizona this weekend, which will show whether Arizona has more in common politically with New Mexico than with Texas.
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