NC-SurveyUSA: Hillary slightly ahead (user search)
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  NC-SurveyUSA: Hillary slightly ahead (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-SurveyUSA: Hillary slightly ahead  (Read 3120 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: April 30, 2015, 06:13:15 PM »

NC is simply a toss-up right now and Hillary got a pretty big announcement bounce. However, Could you imagine if Virginia somehow went to the Republicans and NC to the Democrats and the GOP therefore lost the election? LOL, it would be an epic fail, as epic as ME-02 voting Republican but NE-02 voting Democratic and therefore handing the Dems the election.

If you think about 1992 and the 2008 primary, it's not as farfetched as it sounds.  The remaining Clinton Coalition Democrats are a much larger share of the population in NC.  And while Clinton can probably get Obama numbers in NOVA, there is a major question of turnout in the other Democratic strongholds.  And if coal country didn't come back for Warner, it won't come back for her.  In short, it's possible to imagine VA and NC being within 1-2% of each other in 2016.     
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