NYT: The Democratic coalition ≠ True Leftists and coastal liberal elites

[King]

Pointless article. Sanders isn't the race to win and he knows this, otherwise he would have run as an Independent. He wants to debate Clinton on national TV.

[King]

Pointless article. Sanders isn't the race to win and he knows this, otherwise he would have run as an Independent. He wants to debate Clinton on national TV.

The NYT does this kind of analysis everytime a candidate announces. But I think this had to be said considering how much it's falling on deaf ears in the comments section.

It was hilarious to read this HuffPo article yesterday by a writer who doesn't even realize he's living in a bubble:

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There's definitely a lot of Pauline Kael Syndrome radiating out of Manhattan and Hollywood behind these articles.

[King]

The True Leftists online are already turning on Sanders anyway.

Only neoliberals run for President. Ugh, so mainstream. HP.

[King]

Pointless article. Sanders isn't the race to win and he knows this, otherwise he would have run as an Independent. He wants to debate Clinton on national TV.

His chances are obviously extremely slim regardless, but he'd have a better shot at winning as a Democrat than an independent. If he somehow managed to win the nomination, he'd at least start with 40-45% of the vote. As an independent he'd be lucky to crack 5%.

I'd say his slim chances are higher as independent. The intrigue of a serious independent candidacy brings out high turnout from people who normally check out of the political process. 1992 was a huge year.

He'd have an easier time convincing 30% of Democrats, 30% of Independents, and 10% of Republicans in a general than 51% of Democrats to roll the dice on him being able to win. Both impossible scenarios, but one slightly less so.

[King]

All true. He'd probably have to win a majority of Democrats in that scenario, too. But I would say it would be easier to convince in a general campaign rather than just asking Democrats to roll the dice on Bernie Sanders being able to beat Scott Walker 1-on-1.