MS-01 Special Election Thread

[gespb19]

Zinn has over 65% of the vote in Marshall County so far. Obama won this county in '12.

Do you have a link for the county by county results?

http://dd.aoshq.com/results/mississippi-ms-01-primary/

[Maxwell]

Kelly's lead is shrinking, but with this many candidates close together and 19% in, so this one will go late.

[RFayette]

Poor Adcock.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
80 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 19%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Kelly, Trent   NP   2,437   20%
Zinn, Walter   NP   2,350   19%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   1,456   12%
Tagert, Mike   NP   1,242   10%
Jones, Starner   NP   755   6%
Holliday, Edward   NP   682   6%
Mills, Mike   NP   603   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   573   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   533   4%
Adcock, Sam   NP   500   4%
Adams, Boyce   NP   441   4%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   435   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   175   1%

Surprised Pirkle's doing so well.

[Maxwell]

Poor Adcock.

I thought his ads were suitably punchy. I guess I'm wrong.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
122 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 29%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Kelly, Trent   NP   3,844   20%
Zinn, Walter   NP   3,518   18%
Tagert, Mike   NP   2,192   11%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   2,009   10%
Jones, Starner   NP   1,284   7%
Holliday, Edward   NP   1,257   6%
Mills, Mike   NP   1,091   6%
Collins, Nancy   NP   1,010   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   888   5%
Adcock, Sam   NP   760   4%
Adams, Boyce   NP   651   3%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   622   3%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   551   3%

Looks like Kelly and Zinn will be advancing. No Call yet though.

[gespb19]

Poor Adcock.

No precincts from Lowndes have reported yet so would wait on that before ruling him out.

[gespb19]

This link is good too: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2015/by_county/MS_US_House_0512.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Zinn takes the lead, Tagert Surging!

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
153 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 36%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   5,066   20%
Kelly, Trent   NP   4,239   17%
Tagert, Mike   NP   3,053   12%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   2,181   9%
Jones, Starner   NP   1,829   7%
Holliday, Edward   NP   1,489   6%
Collins, Nancy   NP   1,297   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   1,284   5%
Mills, Mike   NP   1,278   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   1,118   4%
Adcock, Sam   NP   1,095   4%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   1,087   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   602   2%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tagert getting closer to making the runoff....

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
175 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 41%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   5,576   18%
Kelly, Trent   NP   5,064   16%
Tagert, Mike   NP   4,154   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   2,707   9%
Jones, Starner   NP   2,412   8%
Holliday, Edward   NP   1,848   6%
Collins, Nancy   NP   1,663   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   1,627   5%
Mills, Mike   NP   1,438   5%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   1,405   4%
Adams, Boyce   NP   1,330   4%
Adcock, Sam   NP   1,265   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   914   3%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
199 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 47%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   7,138   20%
Kelly, Trent   NP   5,503   15%
Tagert, Mike   NP   4,660   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   2,867   8%
Jones, Starner   NP   2,698   8%
Holliday, Edward   NP   2,025   6%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   1,855   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   1,816   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   1,750   5%
Mills, Mike   NP   1,706   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   1,443   4%
Adcock, Sam   NP   1,369   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   1,025   3%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Over half of the vote is in, Kelly still hanging on by 830 votes.

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
229 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 54%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   7,928   19%
Kelly, Trent   NP   6,447   15%
Tagert, Mike   NP   5,617   13%
Jones, Starner   NP   3,301   8%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   3,166   7%
Holliday, Edward   NP   2,379   6%
Ross, Henry   NP   2,302   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   2,105   5%
Mills, Mike   NP   2,066   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   2,034   5%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   1,912   5%
Adcock, Sam   NP   1,828   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   1,401   3%

[Del Tachi]

AOSHQDD numbers for Oktibbeha look WAY off:  there shouldn't even be that many votes in the county.

Its too difficult to make heads-or-tails of it at the moment, but I'd say that Adcock and Adams no longer have chances to make the runoff seeing how localized their support is to their splintered, shared electoral base of Lowndes County.

Right now its a Tagert, Kelly, Zinn race, but I expect Zinn's numbers to continue dropping until the three candidates are all neck-and-neck.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Kelly hanging on by 907 votes now:

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
266 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 62%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   9,456   18%
Kelly, Trent   NP   7,948   15%
Tagert, Mike   NP   7,041   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   4,509   9%
Jones, Starner   NP   4,113   8%
Ross, Henry   NP   2,830   5%
Holliday, Edward   NP   2,708   5%
Mills, Mike   NP   2,708   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   2,478   5%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   2,462   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   2,410   5%
Adcock, Sam   NP   2,202   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   1,608   3%

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tagert just lost a lot of ground:

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
274 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 64%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   9,842   18%
Kelly, Trent   NP   9,039   16%
Tagert, Mike   NP   7,322   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   5,235   9%
Jones, Starner   NP   4,223   8%
Holliday, Edward   NP   3,012   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   2,936   5%
Mills, Mike   NP   2,810   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   2,692   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   2,536   5%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   2,485   4%
Adcock, Sam   NP   2,283   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   1,656   3%

Only 8 more precincts came in in this batch.

[gespb19]

AOSHQDD numbers for Oktibbeha look WAY off:  there shouldn't even be that many votes in the county.

Its too difficult to make heads-or-tails of it at the moment, but I'd say that Adcock and Adams no longer have chances to make the runoff seeing how localized their support is to their splintered, shared electoral base of Lowndes County.

Right now its a Tagert, Kelly, Zinn race, but I expect Zinn's numbers to continue dropping until the three candidates are all neck-and-neck.

Yep, and MS-01 doesn't even include Starkville (the most populated part of Oktibbeha)

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Kelly and Zinn are neck and neck!

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
303 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 71%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   9,994   16%
Kelly, Trent   NP   9,726   16%
Tagert, Mike   NP   7,647   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   5,409   9%
Mills, Mike   NP   4,993   8%
Jones, Starner   NP   4,423   7%
Holliday, Edward   NP   3,104   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   3,012   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   2,834   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   2,628   4%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   2,513   4%
Adcock, Sam   NP   2,459   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   2,052   3%

[Del Tachi]

The 9 remaining DeSoto precincts could be a closer for Tagert. 

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Also, what a pathetic Democratic performance. 16%? Really? Zinn should have been in first place EASILY. Only in MS can't a Democrat get the most votes despite 12 Republicans splitting the Republican vote.

Keep in mind here that some of the democratic vote may have gone to some of the non-kelly republicans due to "Zinn can't win a runoff, let's choose the least toxic republican option" voting. Also, turnout was low, which tends to hurt democrats more than it does republicans. Also, keep in mind that this district is actually more conservative than MS as a whole.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Zinn lead drops to only 102 votes.

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
307 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 72%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   10,127   16%
Kelly, Trent   NP   10,025   16%
Tagert, Mike   NP   8,115   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   5,493   9%
Mills, Mike   NP   5,053   8%
Jones, Starner   NP   4,518   7%
Adams, Boyce   NP   3,145   5%
Holliday, Edward   NP   3,139   5%
Adcock, Sam   NP   3,088   5%
Ross, Henry   NP   3,075   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   2,896   5%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   2,520   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   2,058   3%

[mds32]

Looking like the legacy of "Trent" will live on in Mississippi.

[gespb19]

Appears that all DeSoto precincts are in.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tagert, Zinn recovering.

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
323 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 76%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   10,563   16%
Kelly, Trent   NP   10,190   15%
Tagert, Mike   NP   8,827   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   5,696   8%
Mills, Mike   NP   5,190   8%
Jones, Starner   NP   5,083   8%
Ross, Henry   NP   3,489   5%
Holliday, Edward   NP   3,268   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   3,262   5%
Adcock, Sam   NP   3,217   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   3,092   5%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   2,821   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   2,570   4%

[Del Tachi]

Remaining (potential) Tagert boxes:  Alcorn (4), Clay (2), Pontotoc (28), Winston (4)

Its not looking good for my favorite Transportation Commissioner

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

AP has yet to project either runoff slot.

U.S. House - District 1 - Special General
Northeast, Tupelo
340 of 426 Precincts Reporting - 80%
Max Runoff Cands=2
Name   Party   Votes   Vote %
Zinn, Walter   NP   11,272   16%
Kelly, Trent   NP   10,401   15%
Tagert, Mike   NP   9,124   13%
Pirkle, Greg   NP   5,792   8%
Mills, Mike   NP   5,397   8%
Jones, Starner   NP   5,331   8%
Ross, Henry   NP   3,578   5%
Holliday, Edward   NP   3,352   5%
Adams, Boyce   NP   3,347   5%
Adcock, Sam   NP   3,297   5%
Collins, Nancy   NP   3,174   5%
Whitwell, Quentin   NP   2,907   4%
Sparks, Daniel   NP   2,585   4%