NBC/WSJ National: Hillary leads comfortably all GOPers, Paul closer
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  NBC/WSJ National: Hillary leads comfortably all GOPers, Paul closer		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ National: Hillary leads comfortably all GOPers, Paul closer  (Read 1599 times)
Landslide Lyndon
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« on: May 04, 2015, 05:39:15 PM »
Just saw the numbers on twitter.

Hillary 49%, Jeb 43%
Hillary 49%, Rubio 43%
Hillary 50%, Walker 40%
Hillary 47%, Paul 43%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2015, 05:42:33 PM »
Paul does best.

That's interesting.

Did they poll the primaries?
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Gallium
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« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2015, 06:01:23 PM »
Clinton is the only candidate with non-negative favorability ratings:

Hillary Clinton 42/42 (EVEN)
Marco Rubio 22/23 (-1)
Scott Walker 15/17 (-2)
Rand Paul  23/28 (-5)
Jeb Bush 23/36 (-13)
Ted Cruz 17/32 (-15)

They also polled Biden in a matchup: Bush 48%, Biden 40%

Dems really need to ditch Hillary!
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Skye
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« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2015, 06:03:22 PM »
Interesting that Paul does so well. We'll have to see.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2015, 06:28:25 PM »
No Bernie numbers? Junk poll!
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2015, 07:03:11 PM »
As mentioned elsewhere, perhaps the most important number is Obama's approval rating which is positive for the first time after 18 straight polls. If Obama's approvals hover around 50% on election day then it's a pretty safe bet that Clinton will be elected.
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King
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« Reply #6 on: May 04, 2015, 08:11:16 PM »
Another outlier! When will all these outliers go away so we can get the real polls that show Hillary losing?!?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2015, 09:55:02 PM »
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/SECTION_More_Politics/V215179%20NBC-WSJ%20APRIL%20Poll%20(2).pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #8 on: May 05, 2015, 01:44:23 AM »
Looks about right.

Contrary to the junky CNN and YouGov polls, this poll here is backed up by the recent state polls.

Any poll showing Hillary ahead by 10%+ is junk.

BTW: Hillary leads Paul by 47-44, not 47-43.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #9 on: May 05, 2015, 09:52:57 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on May 04, 2015, 07:03:11 PM
As mentioned elsewhere, perhaps the most important number is Obama's approval rating which is positive for the first time after 18 straight polls. If Obama's approvals hover around 50% on election day then it's a pretty safe bet that Clinton will be elected.

RCP has Obama still; underwater.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #10 on: May 05, 2015, 09:54:19 AM »
Hillary is getting fewer votes than Obama. Just as I predicted. Far from a 2016 Hillary landslide, 2016 is likely to be like 2000, unless Bush is the nominee, then Hillary should win by point or 2 more.
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #11 on: May 05, 2015, 10:00:18 AM »
Hillary will start losing as the public is fully introduced to her, and finds out more about her husband's business dealings.
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King
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« Reply #12 on: May 05, 2015, 10:03:46 AM »
Quote from: dmmidmi on May 05, 2015, 10:00:18 AM
Hillary will start losing as the public is fully introduced to her, and finds out more about her husband's business dealings.

Yeah, nobody really knows who she is at this point. I doubt many people will like "her husband" (what was his name again?) when they find out who he is, too.
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Gallium
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« Reply #13 on: May 05, 2015, 10:23:09 AM »
Quote from: bobloblaw on May 05, 2015, 09:54:19 AM
Hillary is getting fewer votes than Obama. Just as I predicted. Far from a 2016 Hillary landslide, 2016 is likely to be like 2000, unless Bush is the nominee, then Hillary should win by point or 2 more.
RCP shows that Obama led Romney exactly 3% on aggregate this time four years ago. She's not doing worse comparatively yet.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: May 05, 2015, 01:46:48 PM »
As the polls to begin to tighten, Hilary is beginning to open the race up again, even if Jeb is nominee.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: May 05, 2015, 02:11:46 PM »
Quote from: bobloblaw on May 05, 2015, 09:54:19 AM
Hillary is getting fewer votes than Obama. Just as I predicted. Far from a 2016 Hillary landslide, 2016 is likely to be like 2000, unless Bush is the nominee, then Hillary should win by point or 2 more.

Uh...Obama won by 4 points.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #16 on: May 05, 2015, 02:26:04 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on May 05, 2015, 02:11:46 PM
Quote from: bobloblaw on May 05, 2015, 09:54:19 AM
Hillary is getting fewer votes than Obama. Just as I predicted. Far from a 2016 Hillary landslide, 2016 is likely to be like 2000, unless Bush is the nominee, then Hillary should win by point or 2 more.

Uh...Obama won by 4 points.

Well, at least all of the pubs are doing better than McCain (7 point loss) except for Walker.

It's kind of funny that Walker was supposed to be clearly electable yet continues to poll terribly, even in his home state.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #17 on: May 05, 2015, 02:38:36 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on May 05, 2015, 02:26:04 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on May 05, 2015, 02:11:46 PM
Quote from: bobloblaw on May 05, 2015, 09:54:19 AM
Hillary is getting fewer votes than Obama. Just as I predicted. Far from a 2016 Hillary landslide, 2016 is likely to be like 2000, unless Bush is the nominee, then Hillary should win by point or 2 more.

Uh...Obama won by 4 points.

Well, at least all of the pubs are doing better than McCain (7 point loss) except for Walker.

It's kind of funny that Walker was supposed to be clearly electable yet continues to poll terribly, even in his home state.
He caught on fire in Iowa... and promptly fizzled out.
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