UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Poor Al. Every single Shropshire constituency went Tory.

Unfortunately the Telford constituency includes Priorslee, which means that in a bad year it will always be vulnerable. It was only barely held in 2010.

[Phony Moderate]

Sources say that Miliband will be gone by lunchtime.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I assume Clegg, too, is out of leadership for this fiasco even though he kept his seat?

[Barnes]

I assume Clegg, too, is out of leadership for this fiasco even though he kept his seat?

Him continuing in the job would be virtually impossible; if the projected losses of only 20 seats had happened he very well may have stayed on, but the party likely in the single digits he's facing a whole new world.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Who's left who could challenge Clegg though?

[Lumine]

I would be surprised if this wasn't the end for Farage, Clegg and Milliband as leaders of their respective parties.

[Barnes]

Just a few updates: Ed Balls seat won't likely declare for another hour or hour-and-a-half and Thanet South (which has Farage) hasn't started counting yet.

[Peeperkorn]

at least in the UK you can form these minor parties and make something of them.  unlike the USA.

Irrelevant minor parties with FPP.

[compson III]

Beyond (admittedly perhaps a litany of) tactical errors, what exactly is wrong with the Miliband approach?

[Barnes]

The Lib Dem HQ has admitted that they may not win any more seats - previously they were saying they could get up to 12.

[ag]

Who's left who could challenge Clegg though?

There is no need to challenge. He will not even try to stay, most likely.

[Barnes]

Miliband and Clegg will probably have resigned by lunchtime, and if Farage falls in Thanet he'll likely be gone by dinner.

[Kushahontas]

Beyond (admittedly perhaps a litany of) tactical errors, what exactly is wrong with the Miliband approach?

dude's about as exciting and inspiring as a piece of plywood.

[MaxQue]

Just a few updates: Ed Balls seat won't likely declare for another hour or hour-and-a-half and Thanet South (which has Farage) hasn't started counting yet.

Any information about Brighton (about the other small party)?

[Phony Moderate]

Farron retained his seat; he would be the obvious successor to Clegg.

[Barnes]

Just a few updates: Ed Balls seat won't likely declare for another hour or hour-and-a-half and Thanet South (which has Farage) hasn't started counting yet.

Any information about Brighton (about the other small party)?

Not sure on a time for Brighton and the Greens, but I'd think a declaration by the early afternoon.  The South of England is very slow at counting.

[Barnes]

Farron retained his seat; he would be the obvious successor to Clegg.

His name has been going around on the BBC commentary as the only candidate.

[Peter]

I wouldn't be surprised if some of the Parliamentary Party end up defecting as the LD organisation could suffer atrophy in certain areas in the next few months.

Carmichael - the Viking Islands - to some kind of Scottish Unionists.
Clegg himself to the Tories
Don't know enough about John Pugh or Southport to make an intelligent suggestion
Farron might remain in the LDs as the local organisation is v strong in the Lakes.
Williams - Ceredigion - another absolute stalwart area, but Plaid Cymru or Labour is not beyond the realm
Tom Brake - Carshalton - given the area, Conservative is the natural home, but don't know enough about his views to see if that would be palatable.

[Peeperkorn]

538 now projects 327.

They went from 300 to 325 to 300 to 325 again.

[SPQR]

So,in practice:
Polling numbers were almost right in Scotland,it's just the number of seats which was completely wrong
Same for UK,with Labour slightly overpolling and LD faring much worse and losing a lot to the Tories.

Right?

[Phony Moderate]

Oh yeah, what about Bercow? Not his seat of course, but his Speakership?

[Barnes]

Just a few updates: Ed Balls seat won't likely declare for another hour or hour-and-a-half and Thanet South (which has Farage) hasn't started counting yet.

Any information about Brighton (about the other small party)?

Not sure on a time for Brighton and the Greens, but I'd think a declaration by the early afternoon.  The South of England is very slow at counting.

Actually Brighton Pavilion should be coming fairly shortly.

[ag]

LD hold Bristol West. At least, 7.

[© tweed]

Sources say that Miliband will be gone by lunchtime.

that's a clever line, but other 'sources' suggest he holds the leadership until Labour picks a new one.  you need a face to deal with

[Barnes]

Oh yeah, what about Bercow? Not his seat of course, but his Speakership?

Any attempt to do a re-do of March would certainly be another fiasco for the Tories.  Bercow is fine.