UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Why is ITV showing Labour with 6, Conservative with 1 and Other with 1, yet everyone else is showing 3?

[The Free North]

ONLY 1 EXIT POLL

[Vosem]

Swindon North:
50% Conservative
28% Labour
15% UKIP
3% Green
3% Lib Dem (slightly behind Green)

2010 results:
45% Conservative
31% Labour
17% Lib Dem
4% UKIP
3% BNP
1% Green

[Diouf]

If the exit poll is right - and it's a massive if - every pollster in the country is going to have a lot of explaining to do.

What I want is some actual marginal results...

Have any of the channels showed what the ca % would be with this exit poll?
John Curtice suggested that the Lib Dems would still get around 8%, UKIP looks like they will at least pile up many votes in unwinnable constituencies which should mean a % around 14-15. Perhaps the Con lead is only around a 3-4 % lead which quite some polls have shown

It really could be the seat prediction models that would have the biggest mistakes if the exit poll is right.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Swindon North:
50% Conservative
28% Labour
15% UKIP
3% Green
3% Lib Dem (slightly behind Green)

2010 results:
45% Conservative
31% Labour
17% Lib Dem
4% UKIP
3% BNP
1% Green

Looks like UKIP would have mopped up some of the 2010 Lib Dem protest voters in N Swindon, by which I mean "I'm voting Lib Dem/UKIP because they're not Labour or the Tories".

[Lief 🗽]

Swindon North confirms it. RIP Labour.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Rumors that Nigel Farage has lost Thanet.

[jaichind]

Swindon North:
50% Conservative
28% Labour
15% UKIP
3% Green
3% Lib Dem (slightly behind Green)

2010 results:
45% Conservative
31% Labour
17% Lib Dem
4% UKIP
3% BNP
1% Green

A disastrous result for LAB.  in all 4 seats so far CON+UKIP are well above all expectations.

[Phony Moderate]

Swindon North confirms it. RIP Labour.

Yeah, we've lost. Only Scotland has rejected the Terrible Tories.

I'm going to drink a lot more tomorrow night than I am tonight,

[ObserverIE]

Congratulations to the Scots who have now become the UK's Israeli Arabs.

[Torie]

Swindon North confirms it. RIP Labour.

Yup, the drain is from Labour and the LD's more so, with some swing from the LD's to the Tories at least in the south. Which is why the LD's are looking at a wipeout of their seats in the more rural south.

[jaichind]

UK political markets

CON        309
LAB         249
LD            15
UKIP          3.5
SNP         54.5

[Talleyrand]

Recount in Bradford West!

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

I'll say it: [Inks] the SNP.

[ObserverIE]

Lib Dems hold first deposit (and obtain first third place) at Putney.

[The Free North]

Lib Dems are getting slaughtered everywhere.

[BaconBacon96]

Looks like UKIP's main voting base are coming from former Lib Dem and Labour voters, not ex-Tory voters.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Lib Dems hold first deposit (and obtain first third place) at Putney.

Greens and UKIP missed out on holding deposits by 0.2% and 0.4% respectively.

Lib Dems are getting slaughtered everywhere.

I'm starting to wonder if Clegg will actually hold his seat...

[jaichind]

It is clear looking at Putney results that there was very effective CON UKIP tactical voting.  In areas of CON weakness UKIP over-performed since it did not matter.  In areas of CON strength UKIP does worst than expected as UKIP tactically vote for CON.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

A terrible night to be a Liberal Democrat!

[The Other Castro]

It seems like the exit poll is relatively on point after all.

[Phony Moderate]

Lib Dems hold first deposit (and obtain first third place) at Putney.

Greens and UKIP missed out on holding deposits by 0.2% and 0.4% respectively.

Lib Dems are getting slaughtered everywhere.

I'm starting to wonder if Clegg will actually hold his seat...

On the exit poll he most certainly won't.

[Vosem]

Putney:
54% Conservative
30% Labour
6% Liberal Democrat
5% Green (lost deposit, round up)
5% UKIP (likewise)

2010:
52% Conservative
28% Labour
17% Liberal Democrat
1% Green
1% BNP
1% UKIP

[jaichind]

I'm starting to wonder if Clegg will actually hold his seat...

He will need strong CON tactical voting for LD.  

[YL]

A local journalist in Sheffield says on Twitter that the Hallam count is looking "neck and neck".