UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) (user search)
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  UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread) (search mode)
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Author Topic: UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)  (Read 175562 times)
Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« on: May 07, 2015, 11:56:32 AM »

Why Bristish elections are always so boring?

Boring? Boring? Live declarations? Swingometers? Seeing big politicians eat humble pie on national TV? Not boring at all.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: May 07, 2015, 04:27:26 PM »

Even if the exit poll is wrong, it can't be that wrong. Cameron lives.

It can be that wrong; Oct 1974 is a classic example.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2015, 06:32:32 PM »

Yep... should got a lot more soon though.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: May 07, 2015, 06:37:12 PM »

If the exit poll is right - and it's a massive if - every pollster in the country is going to have a lot of explaining to do.

What I want is some actual marginal results...
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: May 07, 2015, 07:43:53 PM »

Slightly unusual yes...

Labour's current projected performance isn't good enough and if borne out in the results, Ed Miliband needs to go.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: May 07, 2015, 07:52:51 PM »

We still have 633 seats to declare, but I'm not optimistic.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: May 07, 2015, 07:55:07 PM »

I'll stay up until the next official forecast... and if that's no real change, I'll go to bed.

David Blunkett thinks the exit polls are right and the polls were wrong... in fact that the polls drove people to the Conservatives.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: May 07, 2015, 08:07:53 PM »

Sylvia Hermon has held Down North.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: May 08, 2015, 03:57:30 AM »

Well, the only consolation I can take from that one is that we increased our national vote share and Galloway lost.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: May 08, 2015, 04:37:49 AM »
« Edited: May 08, 2015, 04:40:20 AM by London Man »

If the Tories get a majority then it puts to bed braying at the SNP for making it happen. If Labour held every seat in Scotland it lost to the SNP it wouldn't have made a blind bit of difference.

If the SNP hadn't been polling as well as they did, I suspect a good number of floating voters in England might have gone to Labour.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: May 08, 2015, 04:48:37 AM »


Did very well in the NE of England; if they pick the right successor to Farage and Labour doesn't win back the white working class, then they could make a good number of gains in 2020.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11 on: May 08, 2015, 06:19:00 AM »

Miliband making his resignation speech now.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #12 on: May 08, 2015, 06:51:16 AM »

I don't know much about Ian Murray, but the fact that he held on against the tide has to be a plus....

No, just no. The Scottish Labour leader ought to be a MSP sitting in Edinburgh, not an MP sitting in London.

Yes, as there's now only one more non-SNP MP in Scotland than there are pandas...
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #13 on: May 08, 2015, 09:43:24 AM »

Is this the most dissapointing/crushing election night in the history of the Labour Party?

Can't be far from it. Of course, 1970 and 1992 are also good candidates (strange how often the pollsters strongly overestimate Labour's chances). 1983 was terrible of course, but so expected that it can't have felt anywhere near this bad.

No, 1992 (in my memory at least). Really this election result was very predictable, we just allowed ourselves to be kidded by the polls that perhaps Miliband and Balls weren't as unpopular as we all knew they really were, and that losing Scotland didn't matter because the SNP are left-wing anyway. All a big house of cards and the cold light of day reveals these beliefs to be the fallacy we secretly knew all along. But a new leader, a miserable Tory government run by the 60 or so far right in their ranks, and a big win in 5 years beckons

I personally attribute it to the economy. If I ask myself the question "Am I better off than I was five years ago?" I have to answer in the affirmative.

If Labour couldn't beat Thatcher with 3 million out of work... they certainly couldn't beat Cameron with 1.9.
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Silent Hunter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: May 08, 2015, 11:53:36 AM »
« Edited: May 08, 2015, 11:55:08 AM by London Man »

Did Labour or the Tories lose their deposit in any places?

Labour lost at least one in Scotland (Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine) and possibly lost some others.
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