UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)

[ag]

In 2010 for example, the BBC made a big fanfare of playing Big Ben strike ten as they put out the poll.

Lol.

And when can be official results?

From what I know, every constituency declares their own result at some point after 10pm local time. There are constituencies which take until tomorrow morning or noon to declare, so a UK-wide result should be known tomorrow at some point.

This is correct.  The first results will almost certainly be from the Sunderland constituencies, perhaps an hour or so after the polls close.  Most others will declare some time between about 1am and 6am local time.  A handful will wait until tomorrow to count, and some very close results may also declare very late.  IIRC in 1997 Winchester (where the majority was 2) didn't declare until mid afternoon on the Friday (and of course the result was later declared void and there was a by-election, which, um, wasn't quite as close...).

Ahhh.

That's why I love the Austrian way of elections: Polls are open from 6am to 5pm on Sunday. Vote counting takes 2 hours. Pundits analyse the results until 10pm. Everyone goes to sleep.

You, probably, also prefer to learn the football results from the newscast

[ag]

Is there any possibility of UKIP voters claiming to have voted for the Tories in the exit poll?

There is always a possibility of anything. Lets's wait.

[ag]

YouGov's "exit poll" says: Con 284, Lab 263, LD 31, SNP 48

This has a sample size of 6000. The BBC one has 20,000...

Increase in polling size after 2,000 respondents has almost no effect on the margin of error.

Nationwide - you are right. But the point of polling 20,000 is to have constituency samples.

[ag]

Sunderland is being slow

[ag]

Is there a map where live results are being uploaded to?

http://www.bbc.com/news/election/2015/results

[ag]

lol, apparently the ballot boxes in Ed Balls' district haven't even been opened yet, they just arrived...

I assume it's based on the exit poll. But if the UKIP vote votes Tory, he's probably done for. That is one of the things in play here - are UKIP voters voting Tory where the Tory is in the hunt, and UKIP is not, otherwise voting UKIP, draining votes from from Labour. Labour's vote in Sunderland went up because of the LD collapse, while at the same time Labour was losing votes to the UKIP, is what I strongly suspect. That is a very dangerous dynamic for Labour if that is what is going on.

Maybe, but UKIP has been doing better than predicted in the first two seats.

These are safe Labour seats. UKIP people could vote their preference without benefiting Lab.

[ag]

What does "Lost deposit" mean?

You have to make a monetary deposit to run. If you do not get, I believe, 5% of the vote, you loose it.

[ag]

What does "Lost deposit" mean?

Below 5%, or symbolically relegated to minor-party status in a certain constituency.

I never thought 500 quid was merely symbolic

[ag]

What does "Lost deposit" mean?

Below 5%, or symbolically relegated to minor-party status in a certain constituency.

I never thought 500 quid was merely symbolic

Multiply it by three or four hundred and it's not going to be symbolic for the Lib Dems either.

I know

[ag]

TUSC almost pass LD at Sun. west

Nah. LD got 993 votes, TUSC only 341.

[ag]

Labour's probably going to go back to soft-focus third way bullsh[Inks] after this, aren't they?

They were hardly some radical alternative before (I find the differences between Labour and the Tories far less than between the Pubs and the Dems myself in the US at the moment). But if they got Scotland off their back, they will do just fine doing what they are doing. Scotland has crossed the Rubicon it seems to me.

With results like this, a Scottish Unioinist Party is in order

[ag]

Jo Swinson is out...again, good riddance.

She did a lot better then moost Labour incumbents in Scotland. It is the Lab collapse that did her in.

[ag]

Since Labour's not winning, at this point I'm just hoping for the most hilarious results possible.

My seat, Rutherglen and Hamilton West falls.

Congrats.

In that case Maddy, lets hope for a SNP pickup via write-ins in Yorkshire .

I'm hoping for an SNP clean sweep, Galloway hanging on by the skin of his teeth, a UUP pickup in Fermanagh and South Tyrone, Clegg getting Blanched, and at least three or four seats going to UKIP.

As an LD admirer, can't find much good so far:(

[ag]

Labor GAINS seat from Cons:

Ealing Central % Acton.

Courtesy of LD collapse. Tories, actually, gained 4% there.

[ag]

just want to see Clegg lose before I turn off the stream and focus on this final

hope he wins. though, probably, you will get your wish.

[ag]

According to the Liberals, Simon Hughes has lost.

RIP Liberal Democrats as a party.

It has been worse before.

[ag]

According to the Telegraph Lib Dems are already predicting they'll be left with only 5 seats.

They have five already. Would be surprising if that is it.

[ag]

According to the Telegraph Lib Dems are already predicting they'll be left with only 5 seats.

They have five already. Would be surprising if that is it.

Actually, looks like Clegg survived, making it, at least, 6.

[ag]

Lib Dems return to same number of seats as 1951, 1955, 1959 and 1970.

And the vote share has gone up to 7.2%. Should make 10 seats.

[ag]

Conservatives hold their Scottish seat. So, each of the Unionist parties has one in Scotland.

[ag]

Latest BBC projection- 325-232

1 short of majority

SF will not take their seats so 325 will be a majority.

Add the two UUP guys, who are Tories in all but name, and 8 DUP guys, who would support them, and you have it pretty safe.

[ag]

Latest BBC projection- 325-232

1 short of majority

SF will not take their seats so 325 will be a majority.

Add the two UUP guys, who are Tories in all but name, and 8 DUP guys, who would support them, and you have it pretty safe.

Why DUP would support them? They will only if Cameron gives them goodies, and I don't see him wasting money on NI if not needed.

Well, it is needed. You know, there are always deaths and by-elections.

[ag]

-21 for CON/LD
+20 for LAB/SNP

That gaps just keeps widening... Still waiting for the good news for the right.

These are wrong counts. Neither will be a coalition. Tories will govern on their own.

[ag]

LD gain Newark?!

[ag]

Seems to have been an error. Con hold Newark.