UK General Election - May 7th 2015 (The Official Election Day & Results Thread)

[ObserverIE]

Bottom-feeding wing of Tory blogosphere getting a little bit paranoid.

[ObserverIE]

Bottom-feeding wing of Tory blogosphere getting a little bit paranoid.

The pencil actually points to UKIP

You are not dealing with the reality-based community.

[ObserverIE]

Even if the exit poll is wrong, it can't be that wrong. Cameron lives.

It can be that wrong; Oct 1974 is a classic example.

What happened then? I know about 1992, but I haven't heard of Oct 1974 as an exit polling snafu.

I think the exit poll in 1974 showed a Labor majority of 130 or so, and in the end their majority was just 4 seats.

Wasn't that 1964?

Anyway, the BBC poll was quite wrong in 1987 if I'm not mistaken.

No. October 1974 initially predicted a clear Labour majority which disappeared over the course of the night.

[ObserverIE]

I feel a little sick.

Why? Five years from now you may be living in an independent Scotland. Alternatively you may be living in a Scotland where the Tories are doing a Mariano Rajoy on you.

[ObserverIE]

How do we think Children of the Atom will do in Shrewsbury?

Outpoll the Lib Dems?

[ObserverIE]

What does "Lost deposit" mean?

Below 5%, or symbolically relegated to minor-party status in a certain constituency.

I never thought 500 quid was merely symbolic

Multiply it by three or four hundred and it's not going to be symbolic for the Lib Dems either.

[ObserverIE]

BBC projecting a Tory gain in North East Derbyshire (?)

The prediction is for the Tories to do well in the East Midlands (which is what would be giving them Derby North and Gedling).

Lib Dem vote change now subsumed under "Others".

[ObserverIE]

I'm following The Daily Telegraph & The Guardian, because the American media sucks and wouldn't follow a foreign election if it's life depended on it.

The former says the SNP won every seat but one in Scotland. What is the one seat and what is the party that won it? It'd be hilarious if it was that one seat in the Southwest that the Tories already have. Its like Dumfries or something.

The safest non-SNP seat in Scotland is probably Orkney & Shetland, which are two islands far to Scotland's north that are absolutely safe for the Lib Dems, that basically stayed as a Liberal stronghold through their whole mid-20th century wilderness period.

That would be as opposed to their early-21st century wilderness period.

[ObserverIE]

I'm following The Daily Telegraph & The Guardian, because the American media sucks and wouldn't follow a foreign election if it's life depended on it.

If you're trying to watch something, I'd recommend the ITV broadcast on C-SPAN. I'm pretty sure it's the only way to watch the coverage on TV.

http://www.time4tv.com/2011/06/bbc-one.php

[ObserverIE]

Exit poll has Simon Hughes losing? Only Labour to Tory gains it "predicts" and Gedling and North East Derbyshire.

The predicted Labour -> Tory gains are all in the East Midlands.

[ObserverIE]

Congratulations to the Scots who have now become the UK's Israeli Arabs.

[ObserverIE]

Lib Dems hold first deposit (and obtain first third place) at Putney.

[ObserverIE]

Eastleigh gone from Lib Dem to Tory. Colchester and Cheltenham in trouble. Orkney and Shetland too close to call. They may hold Carshalton.

Back to the days of a taxi for the Lib Dem parliamentary party.

[ObserverIE]

Conservatives outpoll Susan-Anne White by three votes in West Tyrone. 169 to 166.

SDLP majority up in Foyle.

[ObserverIE]

UUP gain South Antrim from DUP

[ObserverIE]

UUP gain South Antrim from DUP

Who is UUP? The more militant Unionist faction of old?

The obnoxious Willie McCrea ousted by an aristocratic quasi-Tory in this case.

LIB DEMS HOLD A SEAT!

[ObserverIE]

Lib Demmies have a seat... woohoo!!

They can start with a Segway and see if they can work their way up to a taxi.

[ObserverIE]

I find it hard that every UKIP voter is voting strategically, I have no idea how its possible but it looks like that is exactly what is happening.

The three London seats where they did badly are naturally poor territory for them - cosmopolitan and gentrified inner London.

[ObserverIE]

How are Plaid doing?

Failed to oust the Lib Dems in Ceredigion. Ynys Mon (Labour-held) is their only remaining prospect.

[ObserverIE]

UUP get a positive swing towards them in Upper Bann, which was their only other prospect of a gain from the DUP, but fail to win.

[ObserverIE]

What on earth is going on?

Another step towards the end of the UK as a single entity, I imagine.

[ObserverIE]

UKIP fall well short in Castle Point. Lib Dems get 80 votes.

[ObserverIE]

What on earth is going on?

Another step towards the end of the UK as a single entity, I imagine.

Meh. Quebec is still in Canada.

I don't think either the CPC or LPC were ever left totally without representation in Quebec, and neither party ran a successful campaign in the rest of Canada largely based on portraying Quebecois as bogeymen.

[ObserverIE]

DUP take Belfast East from Alliance.

Being typically ungracious in victory.

[ObserverIE]

Lab gain Ealing Central and Acton from Con