The Economist/YouGov National Poll: Bush 11%, Paul 9%, Rubio and Walker 8%

[retromike22]

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/yougov-economist-22109

Democrats:
Clinton 58%
Sanders 17%
Biden 13%
O'Malley 2%
Webb 0%

Republicans:
Walker 16%
Bush 14%
Rubio 11%
Paul 9%
Christie 7%
Cruz 7%
Huckabee 7%
Perry 6%
Kasich 5%
Carson 4%
Santorum 1%
Fiorina 0%
Graham 0%
Jindal 0%

[Mr. Morden]

[EDIT: I wrote this before retromike fixed the numbers, and my comments refer to the numbers as they existed before his edit.]

The numbers you posted are wrong.  Those are the numbers among all registered voters, not just Republicans.  Note that the Democratic matchup has Clinton at just 32%, which is unrealistic for a sample of Democrats.  That's because it's a poll of all registered voters.

HuffPost has the crosstabs, which shows that the Democratic race among Democrats is:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/yougov-economist-22109

Clinton 58%
Sanders 17%
Biden 13%
O'Malley 2%
Webb 0%

and the Republican race among Republicans is:

Walker 16%
Bush 14%
Rubio 11%
Paul 9%
Christie 7%
Cruz 7%
Huckabee 7%
Perry 6%
Kasich 5%
Carson 4%
Santorum 1%
Fiorina 0%
Graham 0%
Jindal 0%

[Mr. Morden]

Poll was conducted May 2nd-4th, btw.  So this was after Sanders announced, but still mostly pre-announcement for Carson/Fiorina/Huckabee.

[retromike22]

Ah sorry about that. Go ahead and reedit my OP.

[Mr. Morden]

Ah sorry about that. Go ahead and reedit my OP.

I can't, because I'm not a mod of the polling board.  Either you or Tender Branson will have to do it.

[retromike22]

Ah sorry about that. Go ahead and reedit my OP.

I can't, because I'm not a mod of the polling board.  Either you or Tender Branson will have to do it.

K. Fixed.

[Landslide Lyndon]

LOL Jindal.

[IceSpear]

#LiberalshateHillary

[Lief 🗽]

Impressive numbers for Sanders.

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Nice post-announcement bounce for Carly, but she should likely expect to drop down to her usual -30,000 votes by the time the next group of campaigns announce.


Perry and Carson appear to have flipped though. I had been using Carson as the last of the (loosely) serious candidates barring a massive SoCon jump from either of the Ricks or Piyush.

[Beet]

Sanders is really exceeding expectations. I think he can definitely get 35%-40% of the vote in the primaries, but as of now it's looking like black and Hispanic voters will be Hillary's firewall.

[Ebsy]

Sanders is really exceeding expectations. I think he can definitely get 35%-40% of the vote in the primaries, but as of now it's looking like black and Hispanic voters will be Hillary's firewall.

Not really. People always thought he was going to get somewhere around, if not more than, 15% of voters in the polls.

[King]

I expect Sanders to get 15-30% in every state, likely even after he drops out.