DAVE has launched the 2016 poll map
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Author Topic: DAVE has launched the 2016 poll map  (Read 1797 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: May 09, 2015, 11:00:04 AM »
https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2016/polls.php

He has added 4 states so far and uses an average of Bush/Walker/Rubio vs. Hillary Clinton.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #1 on: May 09, 2015, 11:04:56 AM »

Hillary does actually pretty well in AZ (... for now).

NH is especially swingy because the large amount of Indys in the state.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #2 on: May 09, 2015, 11:14:58 AM »
Also:

If someone wants to enter a new (or old) poll into the database, please do it the way DAVE did and average the GOP numbers from Bush/Walker/Rubio and use the average of Hillary against these 3 Republicans.

If a poll only shows Hillary vs. one or two top-Republicans, then just average these and enter it to the database.

I think averaging the top-3 GOPers is the best right now to show how the GOP matches against Hillary ...

Thx.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #3 on: May 09, 2015, 11:18:46 AM »
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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Posts: 58,181
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Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« Reply #4 on: May 09, 2015, 11:35:07 AM »
Quote from: FreeTNvolunteer on May 09, 2015, 11:27:01 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on May 09, 2015, 11:14:58 AM
Also:

If someone wants to enter a new (or old) poll into the database, please do it the way DAVE did and average the GOP numbers from Bush/Walker/Rubio and use the average of Hillary against these 3 Republicans.

If a poll only shows Hillary vs. one or two top-Republicans, then just average these and enter it to the database.

I think averaging the top-3 GOPers is the best right now to show how the GOP matches against Hillary ...

Thx.

Okay, but how can I enter a poll into the database?

You can email Dave and ask him to enable your account to enter polls to the database.
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IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #5 on: May 09, 2015, 05:48:40 PM »
LOL California.
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RI
realisticidealist
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E: 0.39, S: 2.61

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« Reply #6 on: May 10, 2015, 12:29:11 PM »
How long until primary polling maps?
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Ebsy
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: May 10, 2015, 12:38:57 PM »
Things should even out soon enough.
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retromike22
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« Reply #8 on: May 10, 2015, 02:55:59 PM »
YAYYYYYYYYYY!
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #9 on: May 10, 2015, 02:57:42 PM »
Hopefully SC doesn't stay as toss up like it did for all of 2012...
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NeverAgain
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: May 10, 2015, 03:30:48 PM »
California = Swing State.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #11 on: May 10, 2015, 03:57:13 PM »

Well, only Gravis, which said Clinton +9, and Emerson, which said Clinton +6, have polled it so far. I'll have to see less questionable pollsters before I believe those numbers.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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E: -4.52, S: -5.91

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« Reply #12 on: May 10, 2015, 05:44:50 PM »
If the consensus logic is that Nevada should be tossup because of its 2014 election results, then California should be safe D at this point.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: May 10, 2015, 05:48:07 PM »
DAVE is in all caps because it's an acronym?

Doing A Very Excellent job
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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #14 on: May 10, 2015, 05:52:59 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on May 10, 2015, 05:48:07 PM
DAVE is in all caps because it's an acronym?

Doing A Very Excellent job


Dave's polls on uselectionatlas.org Are Very helpful to the Entire political community
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #15 on: May 10, 2015, 09:40:15 PM »
Tender: Perhaps you should sticky a thread on the polling board, giving instructions about entering polls?  Otherwise, no one is going to remember the thing about averaging Bush/Rubio/Walker.
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