Scottish Parliament election - 5th May 2016

[Frodo]

TNS Poll:
Constituency ballot
SNP - 60% (+15% on 2011)
Lab - 20% (-12%)
Con - 14% (n/c)
Lib - 5% (-3%)

Regional list ballot
SNP - 51% (+7% on 2011)
Lab - 21% (-5%)
Con - 13% (+1%)
Grn - 7% (+3%)
Lib - 5% (n/c)

Polls show the following in the election calculators:
SNP - 75
Labour - 27
Tories - 15
Green - 7
LD - 5

So the SNP gain an additional ten seats at the expense of Labour -where would these seats come from?

[Frodo]

Ipsos MORI - Should Scotland be an independent country?
Yes - 53% (+8% on 2014 Referendum)
No - 44% (-11% on 2014 Referendum)
DK - 3%

Excluding Don't Knows
Yes - 54.6% (+9.9%)
No - 45.4% (-9.9%)

That's one hell of a swing!

I presume much of that is due to generational turnover, assuming most younger Scots are more supportive of independence than their elders.  It may therefore be to Sturgeon's advantage to hold off on a second independence referendum (maybe 2020?) until after the EU referendum -among other reasons.