PPP National Poll: Bush drops to 5th place, Clinton remains far ahead

[Tender Branson]

GOP:

Scott Walker ................................................... 18%
Marco Rubio ................................................... 13%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 12%
Ben Carson..................................................... 12%
Jeb Bush......................................................... 11%
Ted Cruz ......................................................... 10%
Rand Paul ....................................................... 9%
Chris Christie .................................................. 5%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 2%
Someone else / Not sure ................................ 7%

DEMs:

Hillary Clinton.................................................. 63%
Bernie Sanders ............................................... 13%
Jim Webb........................................................ 6%
Lincoln Chafee................................................ 5%
Martin O'Malley............................................... 2%
Not sure .......................................................... 11%

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Public Policy Polling® interviewed 685 Republican primary voters and 600 Democratic primary voters nationally from May 7th to 10th. The margins of error for the surveys are +/- 3.7% and +/- 4.0% respectively. 80% of interviews for the poll were conducted over the phone with 20% interviewed over the internet to reach respondents who don’t have landline telephones.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_51315.pdf

[Gallium]

Lincoln Chafee................................................ 5%
Martin O'Malley............................................... 2%

ayy lmao

[Tender Branson]

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[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Lincoln Chafee................................................ 5%
Martin O'Malley............................................... 2%

ayy lmao

Webb at 6% is pretty crazy too.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Poor Rand.

[mds32]

How the heck does Chafee manage to take 5%? Sanders at 13% seems about right. I think he could get to 20% if he remains the only serious contender in the field before the debates.

[Skye]

They stopped polling Warren and Biden. Good.

Also, I'm surprised at Walker's resilience in staying at the top of these polls.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Also, over half of the electorate says electability is more important than conservatism:

When it comes to the Republican nominee for
President are you more concerned with having
the candidate who is the most conservative on
the issues, or the one who has the best chance
of beating a Democrat in the general election?

 38% More concerned with having the candidate
who is the most conservative on the issues....

 53% More concerned with having the candidate
who has the best chance of beating a
Democrat in the general election ....................

Not sure 10%

[King]

If Walker has an excellent announcement speech, he could be up huge heading in the fall.

[King]

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lol

[Bull Moose Base]

Scott Walker is the only guy who has more support from Republicans than Bernie Sanders has from Democrats.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

I looked at the results from PPP's poll of Arizona from last week and I was surprised to find that Sanders does better in Arizona than nationwide. https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=212364.0

[King]

I looked at the results from PPP's poll of Arizona from last week and I was surprised to find that Sanders does better in Arizona than nationwide. https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=212364.0

I'm guessing Sanders is single digits in the South, so virtually everywhere else will be above average.

[Lief 🗽]

Poor Rand.

Eh, he's basically tied for second.

[Eraserhead]

Thought Sanders would be doing a little bit better honestly.

I'm surprised Webb and Chafee are actually even as high up as they are.

[Beet]

Thought Sanders would be doing a little bit better honestly.

80% of interviews were done over landline phones. I'm the thinking 2016 is going to be the year when pollsters finally get a nasty bite in the rear end.

[Gallium]

Thought Sanders would be doing a little bit better honestly.

80% of interviews were done over landline phones. I'm the thinking 2016 is going to be the year when pollsters finally get a nasty bite in the rear end.

One of the reasons the British polling industry collectively f[ink]ed up last week was because they didn't do enough landline interviews. The landline polling proved by far the most accurate, and I'd still trust it in the US.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Thought Sanders would be doing a little bit better honestly.

80% of interviews were done over landline phones. I'm the thinking 2016 is going to be the year when pollsters finally get a nasty bite in the rear end.

One of the reasons the British polling industry collectively f[ink]ed up last week was because they didn't do enough landline interviews. The landline polling proved by far the most accurate, and I'd still trust it in the US.

The high number of millennials (and even older folks) without landlines makes me a bit skeptical. We'll see how things shake out.

[Lief 🗽]

Thought Sanders would be doing a little bit better honestly.

80% of interviews were done over landline phones. I'm the thinking 2016 is going to be the year when pollsters finally get a nasty bite in the rear end.

That already happened in 2014!

[bedstuy]

I looked at the results from PPP's poll of Arizona from last week and I was surprised to find that Sanders does better in Arizona than nationwide. https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=212364.0

Arizona has a bunch of hippies.

[Likely Voter]

Poor Rand.

Eh, he's basically tied for second.

Yes but he doesn't seem to have benefited from the same kind of post announce bounce as others

[IceSpear]

Why is PPP the only pollster to ever show Chafee at more than 0 or 1 percent?

[Beet]

Why is PPP the only pollster to ever show Chafee at more than 0 or 1 percent?

Aren't PPP polls automated? If they're doing something like "If Chafee, press 1. If Clinton, press 2. If O'Malley, press 3, etc..." then about 5% of people are always going to accidentally press 1 while trying to hang up or something.

[IceSpear]

Why is PPP the only pollster to ever show Chafee at more than 0 or 1 percent?

Aren't PPP polls automated? If they're doing something like "If Chafee, press 1. If Clinton, press 2. If O'Malley, press 3, etc..." then about 5% of people are always going to accidentally press 1 while trying to hang up or something.

PPP does seem to have a problem with not randomizing their responses. King noticed this as well, Walker is always listed last and he tends to do better in PPP polls than in others.

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Why is PPP the only pollster to ever show Chafee at more than 0 or 1 percent?

Aren't PPP polls automated? If they're doing something like "If Chafee, press 1. If Clinton, press 2. If O'Malley, press 3, etc..." then about 5% of people are always going to accidentally press 1 while trying to hang up or something.

PPP does seem to have a problem with not randomizing their responses. King noticed this as well, Walker is always listed last and he tends to do better in PPP polls than in others.

That might also explain Webb's 6% as well.