Predict the year that the GOP wins the White House again
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Question: Predict the year that the GOP wins the White House again
#1
2016		  
#2
2020		  
#3
After 2020		  
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Total Voters: 105

Author Topic: Predict the year that the GOP wins the White House again  (Read 4806 times)
All Along The Watchtower
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« on: May 13, 2015, 03:38:58 PM »
I'm leaning toward 2020 myself.
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #1 on: May 13, 2015, 04:01:13 PM »
« Edited: May 13, 2015, 04:17:10 PM by PR »
Quote from: Polls_PuffPass on May 13, 2015, 03:50:56 PM
Sadly, they have a very good chance of winning in 2020. No party has won 4 straight elections since Roosevelt and Truman combined for 5 straight, and I'm not convinced the Democrats are that strong, tbh.

Plus, the Republican bench is pretty solid in terms of Governors - who most Republicans seem to prefer as presidential candidates (executive experience, Washington outsider, lack of a voting record in Washington that could be used against them Tongue ).

Also, you have to keep in mind that the New Deal coalition was driven in large part by politically organized working-class voters (of all regions and racial backgrounds-Northern "ethnic" whites, Southern and Western whites, a large chunk of Appalachian whites, plus black voters in the Northern cities and also, a segment of Latino voters as well). Not only were there the ethnic/immigrant cultures of these voters to provide a sense of solidarity, but there was a broader "working-class culture" that they were a part of - especially as expressed by labor unions like the CIO, which included Communist and Socialist organizers (!)

Contrast that to the contemporary situation, where - in the wake of the New Deal coalition's collapse, the collapse of the labor movement, and the realignment of Southern (and, increasingly in other areas as well) whites to the Republican Party - there's now increased racial polarization of the American electorate, and the growing gap between wealthier voters and poorer voters in terms of political participation (including turnout in elections, but it goes beyond that). The two are very different situations.

The upshot is: Expect the Republicans to win the White House within the next couple of presidential cycles.



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Frodo
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« Reply #2 on: May 13, 2015, 04:05:17 PM »
2024 -once Hillary Clinton wins the presidency next year, you can expect her to hang on for two consecutive terms.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2015, 04:09:44 PM »
2016.

But they'll be locked-out again from 2021 to 2029, and again from 2033 to 2041. 
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windjammer
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« Reply #4 on: May 13, 2015, 06:24:54 PM »
2016
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Computer89
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« Reply #5 on: May 13, 2015, 06:37:10 PM »
Quote from: PR on May 13, 2015, 03:38:58 PM
I'm leaning toward 2020 myself.

2020 by a huge margin
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #6 on: May 13, 2015, 08:00:46 PM »
Hillary loses big to Tom Cotton in 2020.
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #7 on: May 13, 2015, 08:01:28 PM »
Quote from: Frodo on May 13, 2015, 04:05:17 PM
2024 -once Hillary Clinton wins the presidency next year, you can expect her to hang on for two consecutive terms.

She'll be an invalid by then, if she is even still around.
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NHI
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« Reply #8 on: May 13, 2015, 08:33:06 PM »
2020 or 2024.
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Abraham Reagan
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« Reply #9 on: May 13, 2015, 09:35:05 PM »
2016, if not, definitely 2020
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« Reply #10 on: May 14, 2015, 07:38:50 AM »
If not 2016, then 2020.
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Cryptic
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« Reply #11 on: May 14, 2015, 07:59:10 AM »
Quote from: Frodo on May 13, 2015, 04:05:17 PM
2024 -once Hillary Clinton wins the presidency next year, you can expect her to hang on for two consecutive terms.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #12 on: May 14, 2015, 04:20:55 PM »
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #13 on: May 14, 2015, 04:24:04 PM »
2016.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: May 14, 2015, 04:31:30 PM »
I'm going to say 2020, I don't have faith in 2016. Maybe its just me being depressed with the political status quo and the public's happiness with it, but the more Democrats win the better chance Republicans have in the next election.
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #15 on: May 14, 2015, 04:42:36 PM »
Very likely 2020.
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #16 on: May 14, 2015, 06:42:57 PM »
3460

No just kidding probably in the 20s or 30s...
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WVdemocrat
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« Reply #17 on: May 14, 2015, 07:43:44 PM »
2016, 2020, or 2024.

If Hillary is elected in 2016, then 2024.
If either Lincoln Chaffee or Bernie Sanders happens to be the Democratic nominee, 2016.
If an electable but uncharismatic candidate wins in 2016, then most likely 2020.

So, most likely 2024.
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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
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« Reply #18 on: May 15, 2015, 12:33:04 AM »
2016 one term popular president handing it off to his VP who will get 8 years.
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Slander and/or Libel
Figs
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« Reply #19 on: May 15, 2015, 07:30:43 AM »
Quote from: DimpledChad on May 14, 2015, 07:43:44 PM
2016, 2020, or 2024.

If Hillary is elected in 2016, then 2024.
If either Lincoln Chaffee or Bernie Sanders happens to be the Democratic nominee, 2016.
If an electable but uncharismatic candidate wins in 2016, then most likely 2020.

So, most likely 2024.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #20 on: May 15, 2015, 11:41:36 AM »
It depends on how a Hillary Clinton presidency turns out. Or, more accurately, how well she contains the standard of living collapse.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #21 on: May 15, 2015, 12:05:42 PM »
2016

All I see is Clinton getting Dewey'd/Gore'd out of victory by the media simply resenting her being the lone strong Democrat.

Once the GOP coalesce and the Kochs go crazy, she's probably toast.
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bballrox4717
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« Reply #22 on: May 15, 2015, 12:25:51 PM »
2024. The GOP is going to keep losing if they keep on nominating stale candidates like Jeb, Romney, and McCain, and there is literally no evidence that they're learning why they are losing.
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Hydera
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« Reply #23 on: May 15, 2015, 05:21:37 PM »
If Bernie Sanders is the Dem candidate: 2016

If Hillary is the Dem candidate:2020/2024/2???
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H. Ross Peron
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« Reply #24 on: May 15, 2015, 05:38:04 PM »
Quote from: Cryptic on May 14, 2015, 07:59:10 AM
Quote from: Frodo on May 13, 2015, 04:05:17 PM
2024 -once Hillary Clinton wins the presidency next year, you can expect her to hang on for two consecutive terms.
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