Hillary un der water by GWU

[Former Democrat]

wow 427 pages of PDF in that link. I noticed on page 37 on 45% of women 55 or older have a favorable view of Hillary. Good luck with winning Florida Hillary. Men 55 or older find only 37% having a favorable view of her.

on page 113: Would you consider voting for Hillary Clinton:

Florida: 40% yes, 57% NO!

compare that with…

Texas: 49% yes, 49% no.

Surprise that NY is ‘only’

53% yes, 46% no.

Would you consider voting for Hillary Clinton?

Midwest: 43% yes, 56% No.
South: 45% yes, 53% No.
Central plaines: 42% yes, 50% no.
Mountain states 37% yes, 62% no.
West 54% yes, 46% no.
Northeast: 56% yes, 43% no.

Another striking number from page 36. In the Midwest, Hillary has only a 45% favorability among those surveyed. Good luck winning IA Hillary.

Amazing too that in the West (not including mountain states, so presumably CA OR WA AK HI) Hillary has only 52% favorability. Even in the liberal northeast she has 56% favorability and 41% unfavorable.

Also on page 36 they give specific numbers for FL for Hillary favorability: 45% favorable / 51% unfavorable.

https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll57-crosstabs.pdf

[Holmes]

Ok?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ok?

Hillary is underwater in FL and at only 52% in the democratic west + AK. AK is a small state, so it can't skew it by more than a point or so. That's terrible, no way to spin it.

And only 43% will consider her in the midwest. Time to kiss OH goodbye.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Uh... Obama's favorables were even lower than this for most of 2011 and yet he won the next year- not sure what this thread is about.

Yes, but did he have 56% of Midwesterners saying they wouldn't even consider voting for him?

[Beet]

wow 427 pages of PDF in that link. I noticed on page 37 on 45% of women 55 or older have a favorable view of Hillary. Good luck with winning Florida Hillary. Men 55 or older find only 37% having a favorable view of her.

Nice cherry picking. Her overall favorables are 47/48 in this poll.

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The Texas sample size is only 71 people, Florida 56. That being said, I'd trade Florida for Texas, since Texas has more EV. Hillary tied in Texas? OMGZ.

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Again, a sample size of 58. You're better off waiting for a FL poll.

Other points:

Her favor-ability among 18-34 year olds: 56%-38%. So much for her problem with young voters.
Favorability among "hard Dems": 86%-11%. Coronation it is.

[King]

Would Texas consider voting for ____?
Hillary 49/49
Walker 32/53
Rubio 34/62


Texas confirmed Solid D! Congrats President Clinton!

[Skye]

Yeah, there are various ways to read this. For starters, how do GOP contenders fare? Also, how many of those "I would not consider voting for HRC" will show up at the polls to vote for the Republican candidate, for example, in New York?

[King]

Yeah, there are various ways to read this. For starters, how do GOP contenders fare? Also, how many of those "I would not consider voting for HRC" will show up at the polls to vote for the Republican candidate, for example, in New York?

All of them except Rubio are -20 "would not consider voting for" nationwide and even then it says he loses Texas in a landslide.

Junk poll is junk.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Thats why the Obama landslide of 2012; more unlikely.

Clinton can make Va the tipping pt race with 270 electors; winning the Kerry states plus NV plus NM plus Va. Which is plausable.

[IceSpear]

Would Texas consider voting for ____?
Hillary 49/49
Walker 32/53
Rubio 34/62


Texas confirmed Solid D! Congrats President Clinton!

LOL! Battleground Texas succeeded!

Anyway, this thread is mind numbingly stupid. It should be nuked.

[pbrower2a]

New pollsters are always suspect.

Texas is infamously tricky to poll due to regional differences within the state. How can anyone get a good sample in Texas -- and by that I do not mean a sample that gets the result that one wants?

Obama having 50% approval in Texas (page ? That looks like an outlier.

[The Other Castro]

My school is not very good at polling.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

who else here read that thread title in a german accent?

[bobloblaw]

Uh... Obama's favorables were even lower than this for most of 2011 and yet he won the next year- not sure what this thread is about.

people are loathe to oust an incumbent, 2012 and 2004 prove that. You cant be mildly bad and lose as an incumbent, you have to be awful...ie 1932, 1980 and 1992. But electing someone new who is underwater is different.

That said, I dont buy this poll. However Hillary cant run in 2016 like she has been running in 2015. She is going to have to take a position on SOMETHING. The GOP should put off TPP until next year and force Hildog to take a postion, which for her is lose lose.

[Lief 🗽]

RATINGS CHANGE: TEXAS
SAFE R >>>>>>>> TOSS-UP/TILT D